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Louisville City vs Loudoun prediction — USL Championship

USL Championship · USA
Louisville City €4.65m
Full time 2 : 1
Loudoun €3.35m
1 1.44
X 4.65
2 6.00

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
84%Chance
Under 3.5 goals U3.5 Odds @1.58 Very high chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Louisville City 47%@1.44
Draw 30%@4.65
Loudoun 23%@6.00
Goals lineOver/Under 3.5
Over 3.5 16%@8.30
Under 3.5 84%@1.58
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 58%@1.70
No 42%@2.07
Bet Builder
1X & Under 5.5 74%@1.27
Half-time 1:0 Model
Exact score 2:1 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

Louisville CityModelLoudoun
1.18xG1.00
47%Ball possession53%
14Shots10
5Shots on goal4
6Corner kicks4
2Yellow cards2
2Offside calls1
12Fouls made11
Louisville CityRealLoudoun
0.93xG1.23
44%Ball possession56%
14Shots19
5Shots on goal6
1Corner kicks8
2Yellow cards3
0Offside calls2
10Fouls made9
Louisville CityReal · ModelLoudoun
0.931.18xG1.231.00
44%47%Ball possession56%53%
1414Shots1910
55Shots on goal64
16Corner kicks84
22Yellow cards32
02Offside calls21
1012Fouls made911

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

Louisville CityPer gameLoudoun
1.3Goals for / game0.9
1.4Goals against / game1.4
45%Ball possession51%
12.6Shots per game12.4
5.5Corners per game4.5
1.11Expected goals1.09

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

Louisville CityRateLoudoun
20%Wins20%
70%Over 1.550%
50%Over 2.520%
70%BTTS30%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Louisville City WDLDD
W 4 Oct Hartford Louisville City 0 1 2.52 2.57
D 26 Sept Hartford Louisville City 2 2 2.63 2.45
L 13 Sept Louisville City El Paso 1 2 1.80 4.35
D 9 Sept San Antonio Louisville City 0 0 3.05 2.30
D 6 Sept Rhode Island Louisville City 1 1 2.35 2.85
D 30 Aug Louisville City Detroit 0 0 1.80 4.20
L 23 Aug Indy Eleven Louisville City 2 1 3.15 2.07
W 16 Aug Orange C Louisville City 2 3 3.55 2.05
D 13 Aug Tampa Bay Louisville City 0 0 2.63 2.67
D 9 Aug Louisville City San Antonio 1 1 1.50 5.75
Loudoun DWLLL
D 3 Oct Loudoun Indy Eleven 1 1 2.25 2.75
W 26 Sept Sporting JAX Loudoun 1 4 3.35 1.97
L 13 Sept Pittsburgh Loudoun 1 0 1.72 4.75
L 5 Sept Loudoun Colorado 4 5 3.25 2.08
L 30 Aug El Paso Loudoun 4 1 1.71 4.15
D 22 Aug Loudoun New Mexico 0 0 2.22 2.90
D 16 Aug Detroit Loudoun 0 0 1.59 5.00
L 9 Aug Loudoun Charleston 0 1 3.70 1.97
W 2 Aug Loudoun Hartford 2 0 2.47 2.85
W 26 Jul Indy Eleven Loudoun 0 1 1.70 4.25

Past meetings

Louisville City
4·1·1
Loudoun
  • Apr 2026 Loudoun 3 - 3 Louisville City
  • Jun 2025 Loudoun 1 - 4 Louisville City
  • May 2025 Loudoun 2 - 1 Louisville City
  • Apr 2025 Louisville City 2 - 1 Loudoun
  • Mar 2025 Louisville City 2 - 0 Loudoun
  • Apr 2024 Loudoun 0 - 1 Louisville City

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Tampa Bay 27 +21 52
2 Charleston 27 +21 47
3 El Paso 27 +11 47
4 New Mexico 28 +9 47
5 Sacrament 28 +12 45
6 Lexington 28 +16 44
7 Detroit 26 +9 44
8 FC Tulsa 28 +7 43
9 Colorado 28 +3 41
10 Hartford 28 +3 41
11 Rhode Island 28 +10 40
12 Orange C 28 -6 40
13 Pittsburgh 28 +1 39
14 San Antonio 28 0 39
15 Louisville City 27 +1 38
16 Las V 28 -3 37
17 Miami FC 29 -7 37
18 Indy Eleven 28 0 35
19 Oakland Roots 28 -2 35
20 Phoenix Rising 28 -4 34
21 Loudoun 28 -12 26
22 Birmingham 27 -7 24
23 Monterey Bay 28 -18 22
24 Brooklyn 27 -28 18
25 Sporting JAX 27 -37 15
AI Bet Builder: your accumulator, assembled by the model Bet of the Day