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Lok. Zagreb vs Rijeka prediction — HNL

HNL · Croatia
Lok. Zagreb €11.65m
Full time 1 : 1
Rijeka €38.33m
1 6.10
X 4.25
2 1.56

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Lost ✗
92%Chance
HNK Rijeka win 2 Odds @1.56 Very high chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Lok. Zagreb 3%@6.10
Draw 5%@4.25
Rijeka 92%@1.56
Goals lineOver/Under 3.5
Over 3.5 23%@4.59
Under 3.5 77%@1.37
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 46%@1.95
No 54%@1.82
Bet Builder
X2 & Under 4.5 86%@1.36
Half-time 0:1 Model
Exact score 0:1 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

Lok. ZagrebModelRijeka
0.84xG1.29
45%Ball possession55%
8Shots16
4Shots on goal8
4Corner kicks6
3Yellow cards2
1Offside calls2
13Fouls made12
Lok. ZagrebRealRijeka
0.39xG1.99
34%Ball possession66%
7Shots23
3Shots on goal5
2Corner kicks11
2Yellow cards3
2Offside calls1
13Fouls made14
Lok. ZagrebReal · ModelRijeka
0.390.84xG1.991.29
34%45%Ball possession66%55%
78Shots2316
34Shots on goal58
24Corner kicks116
23Yellow cards32
21Offside calls12
1313Fouls made1412

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

Lok. ZagrebPer gameRijeka
1.7Goals for / game1.3
1.0Goals against / game1.3
46%Ball possession57%
9.0Shots per game16.1
4.4Corners per game6.1
0.97Expected goals1.38

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

Lok. ZagrebRateRijeka
50%Wins50%
80%Over 1.570%
50%Over 2.540%
50%BTTS50%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Lok. Zagreb LWLLD
L 20 Sept Din. Zagreb Lok. Zagreb 3 2 1.19 14.50
W 9 Sept Cuba U20 Lok. Zagreb 0 2 14.00 1.12
L 6 Sept Slaven Belupo Lok. Zagreb 2 1 2.60 2.65
L 31 Aug Hajduk Split Lok. Zagreb 2 0 1.36 8.30
D 21 Aug Rudes Lok. Zagreb 1 1 5.40 1.60
L 15 Aug Osijek Lok. Zagreb 1 0 1.98 4.05
W 8 Aug Lok. Zagreb Gorica 3 1 2.03 3.70
W 1 Aug Istra 1961 Lok. Zagreb 2 3 2.90 2.50
W 25 Jul Lok. Zagreb Sturm Graz II 4 0 – –
D 17 Jul Lok. Zagreb Karpaty 0 0 2.25 2.95
Rijeka WWWDL
W 20 Sept Rijeka Hajduk Split 3 0 2.00 3.85
W 16 Sept Vrbovec Rijeka 0 6 46.00 1.03
W 5 Sept Rijeka Osijek 4 1 1.84 4.55
D 31 Aug Gorica Rijeka 0 0 5.70 1.60
L 27 Aug Rijeka(Cro) Midtjylland(Den) 1 4 2.75 2.96
W 23 Aug Rijeka Istra 1961 3 2 1.50 6.60
L 20 Aug Midtjylland(Den) Rijeka(Cro) 2 0 1.52 6.80
L 16 Aug Varazdin Rijeka 2 0 2.88 2.66
D 13 Aug Ilves Rijeka 1 1 4.30 1.95
W 6 Aug Rijeka Ilves 1 0 1.27 12.50

Past meetings

Lok. Zagreb
0·2·4
Rijeka
  • May 2026 Lok. Zagreb 0 - 3 Rijeka
  • Mar 2026 Rijeka 2 - 0 Lok. Zagreb
  • Nov 2025 Lok. Zagreb 1 - 1 Rijeka
  • Sept 2025 Rijeka 1 - 1 Lok. Zagreb
  • Apr 2025 Lok. Zagreb 0 - 1 Rijeka
  • Jan 2025 Rijeka 4 - 1 Lok. Zagreb

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Din. Zagreb 8 +8 17
2 Hajduk Split 9 +8 17
3 Osijek 9 +6 17
4 Varazdin 9 +6 16
5 Rijeka 8 +6 15
6 Istra 1961 9 +1 10
7 Lok. Zagreb 9 -2 9
8 Slaven Belupo 9 -9 8
9 Gorica 9 -7 6
10 Rudes 9 -17 3
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