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Liverpool M. vs Progreso prediction — Primera División

Primera División · Uruguay
Liverpool M. €8.57m
Full time 3 : 2
Progreso €6.03m
1 1.68
X 3.75
2 5.40

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
64%Chance
Liverpool Montevideo win 1 Odds @1.68 Moderate chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Liverpool M. 64%@1.68
Draw 21%@3.75
Progreso 15%@5.40
Goals lineOver/Under 1.5
Over 1.5 63%@1.28
Under 1.5 37%@2.18
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 30%@1.88
No 70%@1.91
Bet Builder
1X & Under 4.5 58%@1.42
Half-time 0:0 Model
Exact score 2:0 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

Liverpool M.ModelProgreso
54%Ball possession46%
11Shots6
4Shots on goal3
6Corner kicks4
2Yellow cards2
2Offside calls0
10Fouls made11
Liverpool M.RealProgreso
52%Ball possession48%
9Shots8
5Shots on goal3
3Corner kicks4
4Yellow cards4
Liverpool M.Real · ModelProgreso
52%54%Ball possession48%46%
911Shots86
54Shots on goal33
36Corner kicks44
42Yellow cards42

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

Liverpool M.Per gameProgreso
1.8Goals for / game0.8
0.6Goals against / game1.3
50%Ball possession43%
10.6Shots per game6.6
5.8Corners per game3.6

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

Liverpool M.RateProgreso
60%Wins40%
70%Over 1.560%
50%Over 2.540%
30%BTTS40%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Liverpool M. WWDLW
W 27 Sept Central Esp. Liverpool M. 1 2 4.30 1.90
W 23 Sept Liverpool M. Colon 3 0 1.37 7.40
D 21 Sept Liverpool M. Racing M 0 0 2.33 3.20
L 14 Sept Torque Liverpool M. 3 1 4.00 2.00
W 6 Sept Liverpool M. Boston River 1 0 1.85 4.40
L 2 Sept Liverpool M. Boston River 0 1 2.35 3.00
D 30 Aug Cerro Largo Liverpool M. 1 1 3.55 2.12
W 27 Aug Fenix Liverpool M. 0 2 3.20 2.27
W 21 Aug Liverpool M. Cerro 4 0 1.63 5.40
W 16 Aug Defensor Sp. Liverpool M. 0 4 2.63 2.70
Progreso WWLLW
W 26 Sept Progreso Racing M 2 1 4.00 2.00
W 19 Sept Boston River Progreso 1 2 1.95 3.85
L 16 Sept Progreso Nacional 0 1 8.50 1.35
L 13 Sept Progreso Cerro 1 3 2.55 3.20
W 7 Sept Albion Progreso 0 1 2.05 3.60
L 3 Sept Albion Progreso 2 1 2.02 4.00
W 29 Aug Progreso Danubio 1 0 3.00 2.43
L 26 Aug Progreso River Plate 0 2 2.45 2.85
L 23 Aug Nacional Progreso 1 0 1.45 6.60
L 16 Aug Progreso Maldonado 0 2 3.95 1.98

Past meetings

Liverpool M.
3·1·1
Progreso
  • Mar 2026 Progreso 3 - 3 Liverpool M.
  • Oct 2025 Liverpool M. 3 - 1 Progreso
  • Apr 2025 Progreso 0 - 2 Liverpool M.
  • Nov 2024 Liverpool M. 2 - 1 Progreso
  • Apr 2024 Progreso 2 - 1 Liverpool M.

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Penarol 33 +29 67
2 Maldonado 32 +22 59
3 Torque 32 +17 56
4 Racing M 32 +11 54
5 Nacional 32 +7 51
6 Wanderers 33 0 51
7 Liverpool M. 31 +11 47
8 Central Esp. 32 -10 39
9 Albion 31 0 38
10 Juventud 31 -3 38
11 Defensor Sp. 32 -8 36
12 Cerro Largo 32 -7 34
13 Cerro 32 -22 34
14 Danubio 32 -14 30
15 Boston River 31 -14 29
16 Progreso 32 -19 29
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