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Lexington vs Orange C prediction — USL Championship

1 1.53
X 4.25
2 5.60

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Lost ✗
74%Chance
Under 3.5 goals U3.5 Odds @1.48 High chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Lexington 57%@1.53
Draw 24%@4.25
Orange C 19%@5.60
Goals lineOver/Under 3.5
Over 3.5 26%@4.21
Under 3.5 74%@1.48
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 44%@1.72
No 56%@2.10
Bet Builder
X2 & Under 5.5 55%@2.75
Half-time 0:0 Model
Exact score 0:1 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

LexingtonModelOrange C
1.44xG0.95
52%Ball possession48%
15Shots8
5Shots on goal3
6Corner kicks4
2Yellow cards2
1Offside calls1
11Fouls made12
LexingtonRealOrange C
3.07xG0.18
54%Ball possession46%
26Shots6
14Shots on goal1
5Corner kicks4
1Yellow cards1
3Offside calls0
10Fouls made16
LexingtonReal · ModelOrange C
3.071.44xG0.180.95
54%52%Ball possession46%48%
2615Shots68
145Shots on goal13
56Corner kicks44
12Yellow cards12
31Offside calls01
1011Fouls made1612

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

LexingtonPer gameOrange C
1.5Goals for / game1.1
1.0Goals against / game2.1
49%Ball possession47%
13.0Shots per game9.0
5.8Corners per game3.6
1.28Expected goals0.88

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

LexingtonRateOrange C
50%Wins20%
60%Over 1.5100%
40%Over 2.560%
40%BTTS60%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Lexington WWWLL
W 4 Oct Lexington El Paso 3 1 1.83 3.90
W 27 Sept Monterey Bay Lexington 2 3 3.30 2.15
W 13 Sept Oakland Roots Lexington 1 4 2.38 2.78
L 6 Sept Sporting JAX Lexington 3 2 3.90 1.85
L 30 Aug Lexington Colorado 0 1 2.18 3.00
L 27 Aug New Mexico Lexington 2 1 2.43 2.80
W 23 Aug Lexington Las V 2 0 1.66 4.75
L 16 Aug Sacrament Lexington 1 0 2.02 3.70
W 9 Aug Lexington Phoenix Rising 1 0 1.81 3.85
W 2 Aug Lexington Monterey Bay 3 2 1.52 5.80
Orange C LWLDD
L 4 Oct Orange C Monterey Bay 1 2 2.02 3.40
W 27 Sept Orange C Pittsburgh 1 0 2.92 2.40
L 13 Sept Orange C Las V 0 2 2.37 2.63
D 6 Sept Orange C Sacrament 1 1 3.20 2.12
D 30 Aug Oakland Roots Orange C 1 1 1.90 3.60
L 23 Aug Orange C FC Tulsa 1 5 2.47 2.65
L 16 Aug Orange C Louisville City 2 3 3.55 2.05
L 9 Aug Orange C Tampa Bay 0 3 4.00 1.77
W 2 Aug Orange C El Paso 2 0 2.20 3.00
W 26 Jul Monterey Bay Orange C 1 2 2.18 3.10

Past meetings

Lexington
0·3·0
Orange C
  • Apr 2026 Orange C 0 - 0 Lexington
  • Sept 2025 Lexington 1 - 1 Orange C
  • Mar 2025 Orange C 2 - 2 Lexington

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Tampa Bay 27 +21 52
2 Charleston 27 +21 47
3 El Paso 27 +11 47
4 New Mexico 28 +9 47
5 Sacrament 28 +12 45
6 Lexington 28 +16 44
7 Detroit 26 +9 44
8 FC Tulsa 28 +7 43
9 Colorado 28 +3 41
10 Hartford 28 +3 41
11 Rhode Island 28 +10 40
12 Orange C 28 -6 40
13 Pittsburgh 28 +1 39
14 San Antonio 28 0 39
15 Louisville City 27 +1 38
16 Las V 28 -3 37
17 Miami FC 29 -7 37
18 Indy Eleven 28 0 35
19 Oakland Roots 28 -2 35
20 Phoenix Rising 28 -4 34
21 Loudoun 28 -12 26
22 Birmingham 27 -7 24
23 Monterey Bay 28 -18 22
24 Brooklyn 27 -28 18
25 Sporting JAX 27 -37 15