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Lexington vs El Paso prediction — USL Championship

USL Championship · USA
Lexington €3.88m
Full time 3 : 1
El Paso €4.18m
1 1.83
X 3.65
2 3.90

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
76%Chance
Over 2.5 goals O2.5 Odds @1.67 High chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Lexington 48%@1.83
Draw 27%@3.65
El Paso 25%@3.90
Goals lineOver/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 76%@1.67
Under 2.5 24%@5.29
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 31%@1.65
No 69%@2.30
Bet Builder
1X & Over 1.5 59%@1.48
Half-time 1:0 Model
Exact score 3:0 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

LexingtonModelEl Paso
1.65xG1.21
49%Ball possession51%
17Shots12
6Shots on goal4
7Corner kicks4
2Yellow cards2
1Offside calls1
11Fouls made13
LexingtonRealEl Paso
5.32xG0.21
60%Ball possession40%
34Shots5
11Shots on goal1
6Corner kicks3
1Yellow cards0
2Offside calls0
13Fouls made4
LexingtonReal · ModelEl Paso
5.321.65xG0.211.21
60%49%Ball possession40%51%
3417Shots512
116Shots on goal14
67Corner kicks34
12Yellow cards02
21Offside calls01
1311Fouls made413

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

LexingtonPer gameEl Paso
2.2Goals for / game1.8
1.2Goals against / game0.7
49%Ball possession51%
15.2Shots per game14.6
6.9Corners per game4.9
1.51Expected goals1.48

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

LexingtonRateEl Paso
60%Wins80%
70%Over 1.570%
60%Over 2.550%
50%BTTS50%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Lexington WWWLL
W 27 Sept Monterey Bay Lexington 2 3 3.30 2.15
W 20 Sept Lexington Orange C 6 0 1.53 5.60
W 13 Sept Oakland Roots Lexington 1 4 2.38 2.78
L 6 Sept Sporting JAX Lexington 3 2 3.90 1.85
L 30 Aug Lexington Colorado 0 1 2.18 3.00
L 27 Aug New Mexico Lexington 2 1 2.43 2.80
W 23 Aug Lexington Las V 2 0 1.66 4.75
L 16 Aug Sacrament Lexington 1 0 2.02 3.70
W 9 Aug Lexington Phoenix Rising 1 0 1.81 3.85
W 2 Aug Lexington Monterey Bay 3 2 1.52 5.80
El Paso DWWWW
D 26 Sept El Paso FC Tulsa 1 1 1.95 3.50
W 20 Sept Phoenix Rising El Paso 1 3 2.15 3.00
W 13 Sept Louisville City El Paso 1 2 1.80 4.35
W 30 Aug El Paso Loudoun 4 1 1.71 4.15
W 27 Aug El Paso Pittsburgh 2 1 2.30 3.05
W 23 Aug Colorado El Paso 0 1 2.00 3.40
W 16 Aug San Antonio El Paso 0 3 2.05 3.35
W 9 Aug El Paso Oakland Roots 1 0 1.95 3.40
W 6 Aug El Paso Monterey Bay 1 0 1.73 4.00
L 2 Aug Orange C El Paso 2 0 2.20 3.00

Past meetings

Lexington
1·0·2
El Paso
  • May 2026 El Paso 1 - 4 Lexington
  • Oct 2025 Lexington 1 - 2 El Paso
  • Apr 2025 El Paso 2 - 1 Lexington

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Tampa Bay 27 +21 52
2 Charleston 27 +21 47
3 El Paso 27 +11 47
4 New Mexico 28 +9 47
5 Sacrament 28 +12 45
6 Lexington 28 +16 44
7 Detroit 26 +9 44
8 FC Tulsa 28 +7 43
9 Colorado 28 +3 41
10 Hartford 28 +3 41
11 Rhode Island 28 +10 40
12 Orange C 28 -6 40
13 Pittsburgh 28 +1 39
14 San Antonio 28 0 39
15 Louisville City 27 +1 38
16 Las V 28 -3 37
17 Miami FC 29 -7 37
18 Indy Eleven 28 0 35
19 Oakland Roots 28 -2 35
20 Phoenix Rising 28 -4 34
21 Loudoun 28 -12 26
22 Birmingham 27 -7 24
23 Monterey Bay 28 -18 22
24 Brooklyn 27 -28 18
25 Sporting JAX 27 -37 15
AI Bet Builder: your accumulator, assembled by the model Bet of the Day