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Leones Negros vs Dorados prediction — Liga de Expansión MX

Liga de Expansión MX · Mexico
Leones Negros €5.20m
Full time 6 : 3
Dorados €6.38m
1 1.70
X 4.00
2 5.00

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
85%Chance
Over 2.5 goals O2.5 Odds @1.55 Very high chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Leones Negros 57%@1.70
Draw 24%@4.00
Dorados 19%@5.00
Goals lineOver/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 85%@1.55
Under 2.5 15%@8.78
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 44%@1.60
No 56%@2.35
Bet Builder
X2 & Over 1.5 55%@2.56
Half-time 0:1 Model
Exact score 0:3 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

Leones NegrosModelDorados
1.63xG0.98
53%Ball possession47%
15Shots10
5Shots on goal4
5Corner kicks4
3Yellow cards3
1Offside calls1
10Fouls made12
Leones NegrosRealDorados
1.76xG2.09
62%Ball possession38%
17Shots14
9Shots on goal7
5Corner kicks1
1Yellow cards1
4Offside calls7
14Fouls made19
Leones NegrosReal · ModelDorados
1.761.63xG2.090.98
62%53%Ball possession38%47%
1715Shots1410
95Shots on goal74
55Corner kicks14
13Yellow cards13
41Offside calls71
1410Fouls made1912

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

Leones NegrosPer gameDorados
2.1Goals for / game1.7
1.3Goals against / game1.4
52%Ball possession49%
13.5Shots per game12.3
5.0Corners per game4.7

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

Leones NegrosRateDorados
60%Wins30%
100%Over 1.580%
70%Over 2.550%
70%BTTS70%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Leones Negros WLDWD
W 26 Sept Cruz A Leones Negros 1 2 2.55 2.65
L 20 Sept Monarcas Leones Negros 2 0 1.75 4.20
D 13 Sept Leones Negros CA La Paz 2 2 2.22 2.95
W 7 Sept Tapatio Leones Negros 1 3 2.45 3.00
D 30 Aug Leones Negros Piratas 1 1 2.35 3.00
W 23 Aug Durango Leones Negros 1 2 2.20 3.10
W 16 Aug Leones Negros CDS T 4 0 2.27 3.05
L 7 Aug Leones Negros Correcaminos 1 3 1.95 3.60
W 2 Aug Cancun Leones Negros 0 2 1.95 3.90
W 25 Jul Tlaxcala Leones Negros 2 4 1.84 4.30
Dorados LDDWW
L 27 Sept Dorados Durango 0 1 2.70 2.65
D 20 Sept CDS T Dorados 1 1 1.65 4.65
D 16 Sept Dorados Cancun 1 1 3.10 2.32
W 13 Sept Dorados Tapatio 3 1 2.43 2.67
W 4 Sept Tepatitlan Dorados 1 4 2.10 3.20
L 29 Aug Dorados Monarcas 0 1 2.95 2.25
L 21 Aug Venados Dorados 4 2 1.73 4.40
D 16 Aug Dorados Tlaxcala 2 2 2.65 2.75
D 7 Aug Dorados Mineros Z 2 2 3.90 1.92
W 31 Jul Alebrijes Dorados 0 2 2.07 3.75

Past meetings

Leones Negros
4·1·0
Dorados
  • Mar 2026 Dorados 1 - 1 Leones Negros
  • Oct 2025 Leones Negros 2 - 0 Dorados
  • Jan 2025 Leones Negros 4 - 0 Dorados
  • Aug 2024 Dorados 0 - 1 Leones Negros
  • Mar 2024 Dorados 1 - 2 Leones Negros

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Leones Negros 12 +11 24
2 Monarcas 12 +9 23
3 CA La Paz 12 +11 21
4 Venados 12 +5 20
5 Piratas 12 +6 19
6 Mineros Z 12 +4 18
7 Cancun 12 +4 18
8 Durango 12 0 18
9 Correcaminos 12 +1 17
10 Tapatio 12 +2 16
11 Dorados 12 0 14
12 Tlaxcala 12 -4 13
13 CDS T 12 -7 12
14 Alebrijes 12 -14 11
15 Cruz A 12 -7 9
16 Tepatitlan 12 -21 8
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