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Leones Negros vs CA La Paz prediction — Liga de Expansión MX

Liga de Expansión MX · Mexico
Leones Negros €5.20m
Full time 2 : 2
CA La Paz €6.43m
1 2.22
X 3.70
2 2.95

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
76%Chance
Home side avoids defeat 1X Odds @1.37 High chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Leones Negros 61%@2.22
Draw 17%@3.70
CA La Paz 22%@2.95
Goals lineOver/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 77%@1.48
Under 2.5 23%@4.95
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 59%@1.43
No 41%@2.67
Bet Builder
1X & Over 1.5 70%@1.60
Half-time 1:1 Model
Exact score 2:1 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

Leones NegrosModelCA La Paz
52%Ball possession48%
13Shots11
6Shots on goal5
4Corner kicks2
3Yellow cards2
Leones NegrosRealCA La Paz
46%Ball possession54%
12Shots22
1Shots on goal7
4Corner kicks8
5Yellow cards3
Leones NegrosReal · ModelCA La Paz
46%52%Ball possession54%48%
1213Shots2211
16Shots on goal75
44Corner kicks82
53Yellow cards32

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

Leones NegrosPer gameCA La Paz
2.1Goals for / game1.8
1.2Goals against / game1.3
49%Ball possession48%
12.2Shots per game11.9
3.7Corners per game3.2

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

Leones NegrosRateCA La Paz
60%Wins40%
100%Over 1.590%
70%Over 2.560%
70%BTTS50%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Leones Negros WWLWD
W 4 Oct Leones Negros Dorados 6 3 1.70 5.00
W 26 Sept Cruz A Leones Negros 1 2 2.55 2.65
L 20 Sept Monarcas Leones Negros 2 0 1.75 4.20
W 7 Sept Tapatio Leones Negros 1 3 2.45 3.00
D 30 Aug Leones Negros Piratas 1 1 2.35 3.00
W 23 Aug Durango Leones Negros 1 2 2.20 3.10
W 16 Aug Leones Negros CDS T 4 0 2.27 3.05
L 7 Aug Leones Negros Correcaminos 1 3 1.95 3.60
W 2 Aug Cancun Leones Negros 0 2 1.95 3.90
W 25 Jul Tlaxcala Leones Negros 2 4 1.84 4.30
CA La Paz LWWWW
L 3 Oct CA La Paz Venados 1 2 1.55 4.55
W 25 Sept Alebrijes CA La Paz 1 3 3.40 2.07
W 19 Sept CA La Paz Correcaminos 3 1 1.61 4.45
W 5 Sept CA La Paz Mineros Z 3 0 2.22 3.30
W 28 Aug Cancun CA La Paz 1 2 2.38 2.88
D 22 Aug CA La Paz Cruz A 1 1 1.60 4.55
W 15 Aug CA La Paz Piratas 2 0 2.37 2.80
W 8 Aug Tepatitlan CA La Paz 0 5 2.15 3.20
L 1 Aug CA La Paz Durango 0 1 2.18 3.20
L 26 Jul Monarcas CA La Paz 4 2 1.77 4.20

Past meetings

Leones Negros
2·1·3
CA La Paz
  • Mar 2026 CA La Paz 3 - 0 Leones Negros
  • Sept 2025 Leones Negros 2 - 3 CA La Paz
  • Mar 2025 CA La Paz 3 - 1 Leones Negros
  • Oct 2024 Leones Negros 3 - 0 CA La Paz
  • May 2024 Leones Negros 3 - 1 CA La Paz
  • May 2024 CA La Paz 1 - 1 Leones Negros

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Leones Negros 12 +11 24
2 Monarcas 12 +9 23
3 CA La Paz 12 +11 21
4 Venados 12 +5 20
5 Piratas 12 +6 19
6 Mineros Z 12 +4 18
7 Cancun 12 +4 18
8 Durango 12 0 18
9 Correcaminos 12 +1 17
10 Tapatio 12 +2 16
11 Dorados 12 0 14
12 Tlaxcala 12 -4 13
13 CDS T 12 -7 12
14 Alebrijes 12 -14 11
15 Cruz A 12 -7 9
16 Tepatitlan 12 -21 8
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