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Las V vs New Mexico prediction — USL Championship

1 1.97
X 3.75
2 3.40

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
89%Chance
Under 3.5 goals U3.5 Odds @1.55 Very high chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Las V 57%@1.97
Draw 20%@3.75
New Mexico 23%@3.40
Goals lineOver/Under 3.5
Over 3.5 11%@12.54
Under 3.5 89%@1.55
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 30%@1.58
No 70%@2.47
Bet Builder
X2 & Under 4.5 56%@2.41
Half-time 0:0 Model
Exact score 0:1 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

Las VModelNew Mexico
1.28xG1.10
49%Ball possession51%
16Shots10
6Shots on goal5
4Corner kicks3
2Yellow cards3
1Offside calls2
14Fouls made12
Las VRealNew Mexico
1.32xG0.79
43%Ball possession57%
14Shots12
5Shots on goal4
3Corner kicks8
1Yellow cards4
3Offside calls4
14Fouls made12
Las VReal · ModelNew Mexico
1.321.28xG0.791.10
43%49%Ball possession57%51%
1416Shots1210
56Shots on goal45
34Corner kicks83
12Yellow cards43
31Offside calls42
1414Fouls made1212

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

Las VPer gameNew Mexico
1.1Goals for / game2.1
1.1Goals against / game1.0
53%Ball possession58%
14.1Shots per game11.1
4.2Corners per game3.9
1.18Expected goals1.26

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

Las VRateNew Mexico
50%Wins70%
70%Over 1.570%
40%Over 2.560%
50%BTTS60%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Las V WLDWL
W 4 Oct Las V San Antonio 1 0 2.60 2.55
L 1 Oct Sacrament Las V 3 2 1.52 5.60
D 20 Sept Las V Hartford 1 1 2.07 3.25
W 13 Sept Orange C Las V 0 2 2.37 2.63
L 30 Aug Las V Charleston 0 2 3.25 2.12
L 23 Aug Lexington Las V 2 0 1.66 4.75
W 16 Aug Las V Brooklyn 2 1 1.87 3.65
W 9 Aug Miami FC Las V 0 1 2.38 2.85
D 6 Aug Las V Oakland Roots 0 0 2.42 2.75
D 2 Aug Las V Phoenix Rising 1 1 2.63 2.45
New Mexico WLLDD
W 4 Oct New Mexico Phoenix Rising 2 1 2.32 2.80
L 1 Oct FC Tulsa New Mexico 1 0 2.01 3.65
L 27 Sept New Mexico Sacrament 2 3 3.35 2.04
D 20 Sept Colorado New Mexico 0 0 1.87 3.80
D 17 Sept Birmingham New Mexico 4 4 2.32 2.68
D 12 Sept New Mexico Indy Eleven 2 2 1.83 3.80
L 30 Aug New Mexico San Antonio 1 2 2.25 2.87
W 27 Aug New Mexico Lexington 2 1 2.43 2.80
D 22 Aug Loudoun New Mexico 0 0 2.22 2.90
W 16 Aug New Mexico FC Tulsa 1 0 2.22 3.00

Past meetings

Las V
2·1·3
New Mexico
  • May 2026 New Mexico 3 - 1 Las V
  • Aug 2025 New Mexico 2 - 2 Las V
  • Mar 2025 Las V 2 - 3 New Mexico
  • Nov 2024 New Mexico 0 - 1 Las V
  • Aug 2024 New Mexico 1 - 2 Las V
  • May 2024 Las V 1 - 2 New Mexico

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Tampa Bay 27 +21 52
2 Charleston 27 +21 47
3 El Paso 27 +11 47
4 New Mexico 28 +9 47
5 Sacrament 28 +12 45
6 Lexington 28 +16 44
7 Detroit 26 +9 44
8 FC Tulsa 28 +7 43
9 Colorado 28 +3 41
10 Hartford 28 +3 41
11 Rhode Island 28 +10 40
12 Orange C 28 -6 40
13 Pittsburgh 28 +1 39
14 San Antonio 28 0 39
15 Louisville City 27 +1 38
16 Las V 28 -3 37
17 Miami FC 29 -7 37
18 Indy Eleven 28 0 35
19 Oakland Roots 28 -2 35
20 Phoenix Rising 28 -4 34
21 Loudoun 28 -12 26
22 Birmingham 27 -7 24
23 Monterey Bay 28 -18 22
24 Brooklyn 27 -28 18
25 Sporting JAX 27 -37 15