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Indy Eleven vs Louisville City prediction — USL Championship

USL Championship · USA
Indy Eleven €2.92m
Full time 2 : 1
Louisville City €4.60m
1 3.15
X 3.60
2 2.07

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Lost ✗
75%Chance
Away side avoids defeat X2 Odds @1.36 High chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Indy Eleven 22%@3.15
Draw 20%@3.60
Louisville City 58%@2.07
Goals lineOver/Under 3.5
Over 3.5 25%@4.38
Under 3.5 75%@1.46
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 44%@1.57
No 56%@2.38
Bet Builder
X2 & Under 5.5 68%@1.48
Half-time 0:1 Model
Exact score 0:2 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

Indy ElevenModelLouisville City
1.09xG1.38
49%Ball possession51%
12Shots13
6Shots on goal6
5Corner kicks5
2Yellow cards2
2Offside calls2
12Fouls made12
Indy ElevenRealLouisville City
0.93xG1.08
32%Ball possession68%
15Shots16
7Shots on goal7
2Corner kicks11
0Yellow cards1
1Offside calls2
5Fouls made14
Indy ElevenReal · ModelLouisville City
0.931.09xG1.081.38
32%49%Ball possession68%51%
1512Shots1613
76Shots on goal76
25Corner kicks115
02Yellow cards12
12Offside calls22
512Fouls made1412

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

Indy ElevenPer gameLouisville City
0.7Goals for / game1.7
1.0Goals against / game1.4
43%Ball possession47%
13.4Shots per game14.1
6.0Corners per game5.0
1.13Expected goals1.45

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

Indy ElevenRateLouisville City
30%Wins50%
60%Over 1.560%
10%Over 2.550%
20%BTTS60%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Indy Eleven DLLLW
D 3 Oct Loudoun Indy Eleven 1 1 2.25 2.75
L 1 Oct Rhode Island Indy Eleven 1 0 1.87 3.80
L 27 Sept Indy Eleven Miami FC 0 2 1.75 4.10
L 20 Sept Indy Eleven Oakland Roots 0 1 2.02 3.30
W 16 Sept Indy Eleven Brooklyn 4 0 1.74 4.90
D 12 Sept New Mexico Indy Eleven 2 2 1.83 3.80
D 6 Sept Indy Eleven Birmingham 2 2 1.63 4.50
L 30 Aug Phoenix Rising Indy Eleven 2 1 2.05 3.25
W 16 Aug Sporting JAX Indy Eleven 0 1 3.45 1.97
D 9 Aug Indy Eleven Hartford 1 1 1.94 3.85
Louisville City WDWLD
W 4 Oct Hartford Louisville City 0 1 2.52 2.57
D 26 Sept Hartford Louisville City 2 2 2.63 2.45
W 20 Sept Louisville City Loudoun 2 1 1.44 6.00
L 13 Sept Louisville City El Paso 1 2 1.80 4.35
D 9 Sept San Antonio Louisville City 0 0 3.05 2.30
D 6 Sept Rhode Island Louisville City 1 1 2.35 2.85
D 30 Aug Louisville City Detroit 0 0 1.80 4.20
W 16 Aug Orange C Louisville City 2 3 3.55 2.05
D 13 Aug Tampa Bay Louisville City 0 0 2.63 2.67
D 9 Aug Louisville City San Antonio 1 1 1.50 5.75

Past meetings

Indy Eleven
0·1·3
Louisville City
  • Oct 2025 Louisville City 2 - 0 Indy Eleven
  • Aug 2025 Indy Eleven 1 - 3 Louisville City
  • Oct 2024 Indy Eleven 2 - 2 Louisville City
  • Apr 2024 Louisville City 5 - 3 Indy Eleven

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Tampa Bay 27 +21 52
2 Charleston 27 +21 47
3 El Paso 27 +11 47
4 New Mexico 28 +9 47
5 Sacrament 28 +12 45
6 Lexington 28 +16 44
7 Detroit 26 +9 44
8 FC Tulsa 28 +7 43
9 Colorado 28 +3 41
10 Hartford 28 +3 41
11 Rhode Island 28 +10 40
12 Orange C 28 -6 40
13 Pittsburgh 28 +1 39
14 San Antonio 28 0 39
15 Louisville City 27 +1 38
16 Las V 28 -3 37
17 Miami FC 29 -7 37
18 Indy Eleven 28 0 35
19 Oakland Roots 28 -2 35
20 Phoenix Rising 28 -4 34
21 Loudoun 28 -12 26
22 Birmingham 27 -7 24
23 Monterey Bay 28 -18 22
24 Brooklyn 27 -28 18
25 Sporting JAX 27 -37 15
AI Bet Builder: your accumulator, assembled by the model Bet of the Day