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Indy Eleven vs Birmingham prediction — USL Championship

USL Championship · USA
Indy Eleven €2.78m
Full time 2 : 2
Birmingham €3.28m
1 1.63
X 4.20
2 4.50

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
65%Chance
Over 2.5 goals O2.5 Odds @1.47 Moderate chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Indy Eleven 42%@1.63
Draw 43%@4.20
Birmingham 15%@4.50
Goals lineOver/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 65%@1.47
Under 2.5 35%@2.73
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 56%@1.53
No 44%@2.45
Bet Builder
X2 & Over 1.5 55%@2.57
Half-time 0:1 Model
Exact score 2:2 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

Indy ElevenModelBirmingham
1.20xG1.01
46%Ball possession54%
14Shots10
7Shots on goal5
5Corner kicks4
2Yellow cards2
2Offside calls2
11Fouls made11
Indy ElevenRealBirmingham
1.83xG1.14
51%Ball possession49%
18Shots8
9Shots on goal4
9Corner kicks3
0Yellow cards2
2Offside calls0
14Fouls made8
Indy ElevenReal · ModelBirmingham
1.831.20xG1.141.01
51%46%Ball possession49%54%
1814Shots810
97Shots on goal45
95Corner kicks34
02Yellow cards22
22Offside calls02
1411Fouls made811

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

Indy ElevenPer gameBirmingham
0.8Goals for / game1.5
1.2Goals against / game1.7
41%Ball possession48%
12.3Shots per game13.9
5.2Corners per game5.0
0.99Expected goals1.32

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

Indy ElevenRateBirmingham
30%Wins20%
70%Over 1.590%
30%Over 2.560%
40%BTTS90%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Indy Eleven DLLLW
D 3 Oct Loudoun Indy Eleven 1 1 2.25 2.75
L 1 Oct Rhode Island Indy Eleven 1 0 1.87 3.80
L 27 Sept Indy Eleven Miami FC 0 2 1.75 4.10
L 20 Sept Indy Eleven Oakland Roots 0 1 2.02 3.30
W 16 Sept Indy Eleven Brooklyn 4 0 1.74 4.90
D 12 Sept New Mexico Indy Eleven 2 2 1.83 3.80
L 30 Aug Phoenix Rising Indy Eleven 2 1 2.05 3.25
W 23 Aug Indy Eleven Louisville City 2 1 3.15 2.07
W 16 Aug Sporting JAX Indy Eleven 0 1 3.45 1.97
D 9 Aug Indy Eleven Hartford 1 1 1.94 3.85
Birmingham LWLDD
L 4 Oct Detroit Birmingham 1 0 1.65 4.60
W 23 Sept Birmingham Brooklyn 4 0 1.59 4.65
L 20 Sept Tampa Bay Birmingham 4 0 1.36 7.20
D 17 Sept Birmingham New Mexico 4 4 2.32 2.68
D 13 Sept Birmingham Charleston 2 2 3.25 2.05
L 30 Aug Hartford Birmingham 3 2 2.02 3.30
L 23 Aug Birmingham Sporting JAX 2 3 1.61 4.65
L 16 Aug Colorado Birmingham 3 2 1.53 6.00
W 3 Aug Birmingham Rhode Island 1 0 3.20 2.15
L 30 Jul Louisville City Birmingham 2 1 1.40 6.40

Past meetings

Indy Eleven
3·2·0
Birmingham
  • Apr 2026 Birmingham 2 - 2 Indy Eleven
  • Sept 2025 Indy Eleven 2 - 1 Birmingham
  • Jun 2025 Indy Eleven 1 - 1 Birmingham
  • Jun 2025 Birmingham 0 - 1 Indy Eleven
  • Oct 2024 Indy Eleven 3 - 2 Birmingham

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Tampa Bay 27 +21 52
2 Charleston 27 +21 47
3 El Paso 27 +11 47
4 New Mexico 28 +9 47
5 Sacrament 28 +12 45
6 Lexington 28 +16 44
7 Detroit 26 +9 44
8 FC Tulsa 28 +7 43
9 Colorado 28 +3 41
10 Hartford 28 +3 41
11 Rhode Island 28 +10 40
12 Orange C 28 -6 40
13 Pittsburgh 28 +1 39
14 San Antonio 28 0 39
15 Louisville City 27 +1 38
16 Las V 28 -3 37
17 Miami FC 29 -7 37
18 Indy Eleven 28 0 35
19 Oakland Roots 28 -2 35
20 Phoenix Rising 28 -4 34
21 Loudoun 28 -12 26
22 Birmingham 27 -7 24
23 Monterey Bay 28 -18 22
24 Brooklyn 27 -28 18
25 Sporting JAX 27 -37 15
AI Bet Builder: your accumulator, assembled by the model Bet of the Day