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Hartford vs Tampa Bay prediction — USL Championship

USL Championship · USA
Hartford €3.33m
Full time 3 : 1
Tampa Bay €4.97m
1 3.55
X 3.45
2 2.02

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Lost ✗
78%Chance
Under 3.5 goals U3.5 Odds @1.38 High chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Hartford 26%@3.55
Draw 27%@3.45
Tampa Bay 47%@2.02
Goals lineOver/Under 3.5
Over 3.5 22%@4.89
Under 3.5 78%@1.38
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 47%@1.70
No 53%@2.07
Bet Builder
X2 & Under 4.5 59%@1.54
Half-time 0:1 Model
Exact score 0:1 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

Hartford ModelTampa Bay
1.63xG1.37
44%Ball possession56%
11Shots13
5Shots on goal5
4Corner kicks5
2Yellow cards2
2Offside calls1
16Fouls made14
Hartford RealTampa Bay
2.56xG1.63
39%Ball possession61%
12Shots19
8Shots on goal9
1Corner kicks5
6Yellow cards3
8Offside calls1
13Fouls made17
Hartford Real · ModelTampa Bay
2.561.63xG1.631.37
39%44%Ball possession61%56%
1211Shots1913
85Shots on goal95
14Corner kicks55
62Yellow cards32
82Offside calls11
1316Fouls made1714

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

Hartford Per gameTampa Bay
1.5Goals for / game1.8
1.2Goals against / game0.8
43%Ball possession52%
12.0Shots per game13.7
4.2Corners per game4.7
1.56Expected goals1.39

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

Hartford RateTampa Bay
50%Wins60%
80%Over 1.570%
50%Over 2.530%
70%BTTS30%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Hartford LDDWW
L 4 Oct Hartford Louisville City 0 1 2.52 2.57
D 26 Sept Hartford Louisville City 2 2 2.63 2.45
D 20 Sept Las V Hartford 1 1 2.07 3.25
W 16 Sept Hartford Sporting JAX 2 0 1.53 6.00
W 9 Sept Hartford Colorado 2 1 2.23 2.92
D 6 Sept Detroit Hartford 1 1 1.92 4.25
W 3 Sept Charleston Hartford 1 2 1.60 5.40
W 30 Aug Hartford Birmingham 3 2 2.02 3.30
W 16 Aug Hartford Miami FC 2 1 1.80 3.90
W 13 Aug Charlotte Hartford 2 4 2.72 2.28
Tampa Bay LDWWD
L 4 Oct Tampa Bay Miami FC 1 2 1.41 6.80
D 27 Sept San Antonio Tampa Bay 0 0 3.40 2.07
W 20 Sept Tampa Bay Birmingham 4 0 1.36 7.20
W 6 Sept Tampa Bay Brooklyn 2 0 1.30 8.40
D 29 Aug Pittsburgh Tampa Bay 0 0 3.15 2.40
L 23 Aug Detroit Tampa Bay 1 0 3.00 2.42
W 16 Aug Tampa Bay Rhode Island 2 0 1.92 3.80
D 13 Aug Tampa Bay Louisville City 0 0 2.63 2.67
W 9 Aug Orange C Tampa Bay 0 3 4.00 1.77
W 2 Aug Tampa Bay Louisville City 5 4 2.00 3.30

Past meetings

Hartford
1·1·3
Tampa Bay
  • Jun 2026 Tampa Bay 0 - 1 Hartford
  • Oct 2025 Tampa Bay 3 - 2 Hartford
  • Jul 2025 Hartford 0 - 1 Tampa Bay
  • Oct 2024 Tampa Bay 2 - 2 Hartford
  • Jun 2024 Hartford 0 - 1 Tampa Bay

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Tampa Bay 27 +21 52
2 Charleston 27 +21 47
3 El Paso 27 +11 47
4 New Mexico 28 +9 47
5 Sacrament 28 +12 45
6 Lexington 28 +16 44
7 Detroit 26 +9 44
8 FC Tulsa 28 +7 43
9 Colorado 28 +3 41
10 Hartford 28 +3 41
11 Rhode Island 28 +10 40
12 Orange C 28 -6 40
13 Pittsburgh 28 +1 39
14 San Antonio 28 0 39
15 Louisville City 27 +1 38
16 Las V 28 -3 37
17 Miami FC 29 -7 37
18 Indy Eleven 28 0 35
19 Oakland Roots 28 -2 35
20 Phoenix Rising 28 -4 34
21 Loudoun 28 -12 26
22 Birmingham 27 -7 24
23 Monterey Bay 28 -18 22
24 Brooklyn 27 -28 18
25 Sporting JAX 27 -37 15
AI Bet Builder: your accumulator, assembled by the model Bet of the Day