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Hartford vs Louisville City prediction — USL Championship

USL Championship · USA
Hartford €3.53m
Full time 2 : 2
Louisville City €4.65m
1 2.63
X 3.50
2 2.45

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Lost ✗
74%Chance
Under 3.5 goals U3.5 Odds @1.39 High chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Hartford 44%@2.63
Draw 23%@3.50
Louisville City 33%@2.45
Goals lineOver/Under 3.5
Over 3.5 26%@3.96
Under 3.5 74%@1.39
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 59%@1.65
No 41%@2.23
Bet Builder
1X & Under 5.5 56%@1.68
Half-time 1:0 Model
Exact score 2:1 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

Hartford ModelLouisville City
1.72xG1.07
49%Ball possession51%
12Shots12
5Shots on goal4
4Corner kicks5
2Yellow cards2
3Offside calls2
15Fouls made12
Hartford RealLouisville City
2.06xG1.58
38%Ball possession62%
13Shots11
4Shots on goal5
8Corner kicks7
4Yellow cards3
2Offside calls1
12Fouls made14
Hartford Real · ModelLouisville City
2.061.72xG1.581.07
38%49%Ball possession62%51%
1312Shots1112
45Shots on goal54
84Corner kicks75
42Yellow cards32
23Offside calls12
1215Fouls made1412

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

Hartford Per gameLouisville City
2.1Goals for / game1.3
1.1Goals against / game1.4
44%Ball possession44%
13.5Shots per game11.1
4.8Corners per game4.6
1.97Expected goals0.93

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

Hartford RateLouisville City
70%Wins20%
100%Over 1.570%
60%Over 2.550%
90%BTTS70%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Hartford DDWWW
D 26 Sept Hartford Louisville City 2 2 2.63 2.45
D 20 Sept Las V Hartford 1 1 2.07 3.25
W 16 Sept Hartford Sporting JAX 2 0 1.53 6.00
W 13 Sept Hartford Tampa Bay 3 1 3.55 2.02
W 9 Sept Hartford Colorado 2 1 2.23 2.92
D 6 Sept Detroit Hartford 1 1 1.92 4.25
W 3 Sept Charleston Hartford 1 2 1.60 5.40
W 30 Aug Hartford Birmingham 3 2 2.02 3.30
W 16 Aug Hartford Miami FC 2 1 1.80 3.90
W 13 Aug Charlotte Hartford 2 4 2.72 2.28
Louisville City DWLDD
D 26 Sept Hartford Louisville City 2 2 2.63 2.45
W 20 Sept Louisville City Loudoun 2 1 1.44 6.00
L 13 Sept Louisville City El Paso 1 2 1.80 4.35
D 9 Sept San Antonio Louisville City 0 0 3.05 2.30
D 6 Sept Rhode Island Louisville City 1 1 2.35 2.85
D 30 Aug Louisville City Detroit 0 0 1.80 4.20
L 23 Aug Indy Eleven Louisville City 2 1 3.15 2.07
W 16 Aug Orange C Louisville City 2 3 3.55 2.05
D 13 Aug Tampa Bay Louisville City 0 0 2.63 2.67
D 9 Aug Louisville City San Antonio 1 1 1.50 5.75

Past meetings

Hartford
1·2·3
Louisville City
  • Sept 2026 Hartford 2 - 2 Louisville City
  • Jul 2026 Louisville City 1 - 0 Hartford
  • Oct 2025 Louisville City 1 - 0 Hartford
  • May 2025 Hartford 1 - 1 Louisville City
  • Aug 2024 Hartford 2 - 1 Louisville City
  • Apr 2024 Louisville City 6 - 0 Hartford

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Tampa Bay 27 +21 52
2 Charleston 27 +21 47
3 El Paso 27 +11 47
4 New Mexico 28 +9 47
5 Sacrament 28 +12 45
6 Lexington 28 +16 44
7 Detroit 26 +9 44
8 FC Tulsa 28 +7 43
9 Colorado 28 +3 41
10 Hartford 28 +3 41
11 Rhode Island 28 +10 40
12 Orange C 28 -6 40
13 Pittsburgh 28 +1 39
14 San Antonio 28 0 39
15 Louisville City 27 +1 38
16 Las V 28 -3 37
17 Miami FC 29 -7 37
18 Indy Eleven 28 0 35
19 Oakland Roots 28 -2 35
20 Phoenix Rising 28 -4 34
21 Loudoun 28 -12 26
22 Birmingham 27 -7 24
23 Monterey Bay 28 -18 22
24 Brooklyn 27 -28 18
25 Sporting JAX 27 -37 15
AI Bet Builder: your accumulator, assembled by the model Bet of the Day