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Hartford vs Birmingham prediction — USL Championship

USL Championship · USA
Hartford €3.08m
Full time 3 : 2
Birmingham €3.28m
1 2.02
X 3.55
2 3.30

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Lost ✗
69%Chance
Under 3.5 goals U3.5 Odds @1.50 High chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Hartford 27%@2.02
Draw 16%@3.55
Birmingham 57%@3.30
Goals lineOver/Under 3.5
Over 3.5 31%@3.34
Under 3.5 69%@1.50
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 43%@1.58
No 57%@2.32
Bet Builder
1X & Under 5.5 55%@1.50
Half-time 1:0 Model
Exact score 2:0 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

Hartford ModelBirmingham
1.85xG0.99
51%Ball possession49%
15Shots11
7Shots on goal6
7Corner kicks4
2Yellow cards2
3Offside calls3
14Fouls made10
Hartford RealBirmingham
2.77xG1.59
45%Ball possession55%
18Shots10
6Shots on goal4
6Corner kicks5
3Yellow cards3
3Offside calls0
19Fouls made15
Hartford Real · ModelBirmingham
2.771.85xG1.590.99
45%51%Ball possession55%49%
1815Shots1011
67Shots on goal46
67Corner kicks54
32Yellow cards32
33Offside calls03
1914Fouls made1510

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

Hartford Per gameBirmingham
1.1Goals for / game1.4
1.1Goals against / game1.6
46%Ball possession47%
12.8Shots per game14.3
6.5Corners per game5.0
1.51Expected goals1.29

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

Hartford RateBirmingham
30%Wins20%
60%Over 1.590%
40%Over 2.560%
50%BTTS90%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Hartford LDDWW
L 4 Oct Hartford Louisville City 0 1 2.52 2.57
D 26 Sept Hartford Louisville City 2 2 2.63 2.45
D 20 Sept Las V Hartford 1 1 2.07 3.25
W 16 Sept Hartford Sporting JAX 2 0 1.53 6.00
W 13 Sept Hartford Tampa Bay 3 1 3.55 2.02
W 9 Sept Hartford Colorado 2 1 2.23 2.92
D 6 Sept Detroit Hartford 1 1 1.92 4.25
W 3 Sept Charleston Hartford 1 2 1.60 5.40
W 16 Aug Hartford Miami FC 2 1 1.80 3.90
W 13 Aug Charlotte Hartford 2 4 2.72 2.28
Birmingham LWLDD
L 4 Oct Detroit Birmingham 1 0 1.65 4.60
W 23 Sept Birmingham Brooklyn 4 0 1.59 4.65
L 20 Sept Tampa Bay Birmingham 4 0 1.36 7.20
D 17 Sept Birmingham New Mexico 4 4 2.32 2.68
D 13 Sept Birmingham Charleston 2 2 3.25 2.05
D 6 Sept Indy Eleven Birmingham 2 2 1.63 4.50
L 23 Aug Birmingham Sporting JAX 2 3 1.61 4.65
L 16 Aug Colorado Birmingham 3 2 1.53 6.00
W 3 Aug Birmingham Rhode Island 1 0 3.20 2.15
L 30 Jul Louisville City Birmingham 2 1 1.40 6.40

Past meetings

Hartford
3·2·0
Birmingham
  • Mar 2026 Birmingham 0 - 0 Hartford
  • Aug 2025 Birmingham 1 - 4 Hartford
  • Apr 2025 Hartford 1 - 0 Birmingham
  • Aug 2024 Birmingham 2 - 2 Hartford
  • Mar 2024 Hartford 1 - 0 Birmingham

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Tampa Bay 27 +21 52
2 Charleston 27 +21 47
3 El Paso 27 +11 47
4 New Mexico 28 +9 47
5 Sacrament 28 +12 45
6 Lexington 28 +16 44
7 Detroit 26 +9 44
8 FC Tulsa 28 +7 43
9 Colorado 28 +3 41
10 Hartford 28 +3 41
11 Rhode Island 28 +10 40
12 Orange C 28 -6 40
13 Pittsburgh 28 +1 39
14 San Antonio 28 0 39
15 Louisville City 27 +1 38
16 Las V 28 -3 37
17 Miami FC 29 -7 37
18 Indy Eleven 28 0 35
19 Oakland Roots 28 -2 35
20 Phoenix Rising 28 -4 34
21 Loudoun 28 -12 26
22 Birmingham 27 -7 24
23 Monterey Bay 28 -18 22
24 Brooklyn 27 -28 18
25 Sporting JAX 27 -37 15
AI Bet Builder: your accumulator, assembled by the model Bet of the Day