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GIL Vicente vs Maritimo prediction — Primeira Liga

Primeira Liga · Portugal
1 2.05
X 3.30
2 4.20

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
80%Chance
Home side avoids defeat 1X Odds @1.28 Very high chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
GIL Vicente 62%@2.05
Draw 21%@3.30
Maritimo 17%@4.20
Goals lineOver/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 38%@2.64
Under 2.5 62%@1.62
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 47%@2.05
No 53%@1.78
Bet Builder
1X & Under 4.5 61%@1.43
Half-time 1:0 Model
Exact score 1:0 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

GIL VicenteModelMaritimo
1.39xG0.89
53%Ball possession47%
14Shots8
4Shots on goal3
5Corner kicks3
2Yellow cards2
1Offside calls1
13Fouls made14
GIL VicenteRealMaritimo
1.20xG0.83
60%Ball possession40%
19Shots10
4Shots on goal3
4Corner kicks3
1Yellow cards1
3Offside calls0
9Fouls made13
GIL VicenteReal · ModelMaritimo
1.201.39xG0.830.89
60%53%Ball possession40%47%
1914Shots108
44Shots on goal33
45Corner kicks33
12Yellow cards12
31Offside calls01
913Fouls made1314

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

GIL VicentePer gameMaritimo
0.9Goals for / game1.1
1.3Goals against / game1.7
49%Ball possession46%
12.7Shots per game10.5
3.6Corners per game2.8
1.11Expected goals0.96

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

GIL VicenteRateMaritimo
30%Wins30%
60%Over 1.580%
40%Over 2.560%
40%BTTS60%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

GIL Vicente LLDWW
L 13 Sept Benfica GIL Vicente 3 1 1.14 23.00
L 6 Sept GIL Vicente Academico Viseu 0 1 2.45 3.45
D 30 Aug Famalicao GIL Vicente 0 0 1.95 4.55
W 24 Aug GIL Vicente Casa Pia 2 0 1.75 5.70
W 9 Aug GIL Vicente Rio Ave 1 0 2.15 3.80
D 25 Jul GIL Vicente Moreirense 2 2 – –
D 18 Jul GIL Vicente Felgueiras 1 1 – –
L 16 May Sporting CP GIL Vicente 3 0 1.22 14.00
L 11 May GIL Vicente Arouca 1 3 1.67 5.70
D 3 May Rio Ave GIL Vicente 0 0 4.10 1.92
Maritimo LLLDW
L 14 Sept Moreirense Maritimo 3 1 2.82 2.80
L 5 Sept Maritimo Benfica 0 3 16.50 1.21
L 29 Aug Arouca Maritimo 2 1 2.20 3.50
D 22 Aug Maritimo Academico Viseu 2 2 2.07 4.05
W 16 Aug Famalicao Maritimo 1 2 1.78 5.20
W 8 Aug Maritimo Casa Pia 1 0 2.15 4.10
D 25 Jul Maritimo Machico 0 0 – –
W 22 Jul Maritimo Camacha 2 0 – –
W 14 Jul Maritimo AVS 2 0 – –
L 15 May Maritimo Chaves 1 3 2.02 3.60

Past meetings

No recent games between them

For this fixture, the model works from current form and the underlying stats instead.

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 FC Porto 8 +15 22
2 Benfica 8 +15 17
3 Sporting CP 8 +9 16
4 Santa Clara 8 +7 16
5 Arouca 8 +3 12
6 Braga 7 +2 12
7 Academico Viseu 8 0 12
8 Estrela 8 0 11
9 GIL Vicente 7 0 9
10 Alverca 8 -2 9
11 Maritimo 8 -4 9
12 Moreirense 8 -6 9
13 Famalicao 8 +2 8
14 Vitória SC 8 -3 6
15 Nacional 8 -8 5
16 Rio Ave 8 -10 5
17 Casa Pia 8 -13 5
18 Estoril 8 -7 3