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FC Tulsa vs New Mexico prediction — USL Championship

USL Championship · USA
FC Tulsa €3.72m
Full time 1 : 0
New Mexico €3.67m
1 2.01
X 3.45
2 3.65

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
86%Chance
Home side avoids defeat 1X Odds @1.30 Very high chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
FC Tulsa 66%@2.01
Draw 17%@3.45
New Mexico 17%@3.65
Goals lineOver/Under 1.5
Over 1.5 68%@1.24
Under 1.5 32%@2.64
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 40%@1.65
No 60%@2.12
Bet Builder
1X & Under 4.5 55%@1.55
Half-time 1:0 Model
Exact score 2:0 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

FC TulsaModelNew Mexico
1.33xG1.03
45%Ball possession55%
10Shots11
4Shots on goal4
4Corner kicks3
3Yellow cards3
3Offside calls3
13Fouls made12
FC TulsaRealNew Mexico
1.91xG0.80
31%Ball possession69%
19Shots10
7Shots on goal6
9Corner kicks5
3Yellow cards3
2Offside calls2
13Fouls made10
FC TulsaReal · ModelNew Mexico
1.911.33xG0.801.03
31%45%Ball possession69%55%
1910Shots1011
74Shots on goal64
94Corner kicks53
33Yellow cards33
23Offside calls23
1313Fouls made1012

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

FC TulsaPer gameNew Mexico
1.2Goals for / game1.9
0.8Goals against / game1.5
46%Ball possession60%
10.0Shots per game12.0
3.2Corners per game3.5
1.25Expected goals1.14

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

FC TulsaRateNew Mexico
40%Wins40%
40%Over 1.570%
30%Over 2.570%
40%BTTS70%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

FC Tulsa DDDLD
D 4 Oct FC Tulsa Sacrament 1 1 2.95 2.52
D 26 Sept El Paso FC Tulsa 1 1 1.95 3.50
D 20 Sept Brooklyn FC Tulsa 2 2 2.67 2.43
L 13 Sept Phoenix Rising FC Tulsa 2 1 2.00 3.35
D 6 Sept San Antonio FC Tulsa 0 0 2.17 3.50
W 30 Aug FC Tulsa Rhode Island 1 0 2.75 2.57
W 23 Aug Orange C FC Tulsa 1 5 2.47 2.65
L 16 Aug New Mexico FC Tulsa 1 0 2.22 3.00
L 9 Aug FC Tulsa Detroit 0 1 2.55 2.82
W 6 Aug FC Tulsa Sacrament 1 0 2.95 2.47
New Mexico WLDDD
W 4 Oct New Mexico Phoenix Rising 2 1 2.32 2.80
L 27 Sept New Mexico Sacrament 2 3 3.35 2.04
D 20 Sept Colorado New Mexico 0 0 1.87 3.80
D 17 Sept Birmingham New Mexico 4 4 2.32 2.68
D 12 Sept New Mexico Indy Eleven 2 2 1.83 3.80
W 6 Sept Las V New Mexico 1 2 1.97 3.40
L 30 Aug New Mexico San Antonio 1 2 2.25 2.87
W 27 Aug New Mexico Lexington 2 1 2.43 2.80
D 22 Aug Loudoun New Mexico 0 0 2.22 2.90
W 16 Aug New Mexico FC Tulsa 1 0 2.22 3.00

Past meetings

FC Tulsa
3·2·1
New Mexico
  • Aug 2026 New Mexico 1 - 0 FC Tulsa
  • Nov 2025 FC Tulsa 3 - 0 New Mexico
  • Sept 2025 New Mexico 0 - 1 FC Tulsa
  • Aug 2025 FC Tulsa 5 - 2 New Mexico
  • Oct 2024 FC Tulsa 1 - 1 New Mexico
  • Aug 2024 New Mexico 3 - 3 FC Tulsa

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Tampa Bay 27 +21 52
2 Charleston 27 +21 47
3 El Paso 27 +11 47
4 New Mexico 28 +9 47
5 Sacrament 28 +12 45
6 Lexington 28 +16 44
7 Detroit 26 +9 44
8 FC Tulsa 28 +7 43
9 Colorado 28 +3 41
10 Hartford 28 +3 41
11 Rhode Island 28 +10 40
12 Orange C 28 -6 40
13 Pittsburgh 28 +1 39
14 San Antonio 28 0 39
15 Louisville City 27 +1 38
16 Las V 28 -3 37
17 Miami FC 29 -7 37
18 Indy Eleven 28 0 35
19 Oakland Roots 28 -2 35
20 Phoenix Rising 28 -4 34
21 Loudoun 28 -12 26
22 Birmingham 27 -7 24
23 Monterey Bay 28 -18 22
24 Brooklyn 27 -28 18
25 Sporting JAX 27 -37 15
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