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FC Porto vs Moreirense prediction — Primeira Liga

Primeira Liga · Portugal
FC Porto €444.30m
Full time 2 : 1
Moreirense €23.45m
1 1.14
X 9.00
2 32.00

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
72%Chance
Under 3.5 goals U3.5 Odds @1.56 High chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
FC Porto 64%@1.14
Draw 28%@9.00
Moreirense 8%@32.00
Goals lineOver/Under 3.5
Over 3.5 28%@4.01
Under 3.5 72%@1.56
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 28%@3.00
No 72%@1.41
Half-time 1:0 Model
Exact score 2:0 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

FC PortoModelMoreirense
2.43xG0.42
54%Ball possession46%
16Shots6
9Shots on goal3
7Corner kicks2
2Yellow cards3
2Offside calls0
14Fouls made13
FC PortoRealMoreirense
2.85xG0.85
70%Ball possession30%
23Shots7
9Shots on goal2
9Corner kicks1
1Yellow cards2
4Offside calls1
11Fouls made12
FC PortoReal · ModelMoreirense
2.852.43xG0.850.42
70%54%Ball possession30%46%
2316Shots76
99Shots on goal23
97Corner kicks12
12Yellow cards23
42Offside calls10
1114Fouls made1213

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

FC PortoPer gameMoreirense
1.5Goals for / game1.1
0.5Goals against / game1.6
55%Ball possession49%
13.8Shots per game8.0
6.3Corners per game4.2
1.92Expected goals0.43

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

FC PortoRateMoreirense
80%Wins20%
60%Over 1.580%
30%Over 2.560%
20%BTTS50%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

FC Porto WWWLW
W 2 Oct Dep. A Coruna(Esp) FC Porto(Por) 1 3 2.23 3.10
W 20 Sept FC Porto Benfica 3 1 2.82 2.52
W 12 Sept Casa Pia FC Porto 1 4 16.00 1.22
L 8 Sept FC Porto(Por) Manchester City(Eng) 0 2 5.25 1.73
W 29 Aug Academico Viseu FC Porto 0 3 10.75 1.34
W 23 Aug FC Porto Arouca 2 0 1.32 12.00
W 15 Aug Rio Ave FC Porto 0 2 8.75 1.41
W 9 Aug FC Porto Alverca 2 0 1.23 16.50
W 1 Aug FC Porto Torreense 1 0 1.22 14.50
W 25 Jul FC Porto Aston Villa 2 1 2.28 3.20
Moreirense DWLWL
D 20 Sept Vitoria SC Moreirense 1 1 1.55 6.60
W 14 Sept Moreirense Maritimo 3 1 2.82 2.80
L 9 Sept Moreirense Benfica 0 4 21.00 1.17
W 30 Aug Casa Pia Moreirense 0 1 2.67 2.92
L 16 Aug Arouca Moreirense 4 0 1.92 4.20
D 9 Aug Moreirense Braga 2 2 6.30 1.60
W 1 Aug Moreirense Amarante 2 0 1.84 4.35
D 25 Jul GIL Vicente Moreirense 2 2 – –
L 22 Jul Santa Clara Moreirense 2 1 2.85 3.55
D 18 Jul Moreirense AVS 2 2 – –

Past meetings

FC Porto
5·0·0
Moreirense
  • Mar 2026 FC Porto 3 - 0 Moreirense
  • Oct 2025 Moreirense 1 - 2 FC Porto
  • May 2025 FC Porto 3 - 1 Moreirense
  • Dec 2024 Moreirense 0 - 3 FC Porto
  • Jan 2024 FC Porto 5 - 0 Moreirense

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 FC Porto 8 +15 22
2 Benfica 8 +15 17
3 Sporting CP 8 +9 16
4 Santa Clara 8 +7 16
5 Arouca 8 +3 12
6 Braga 7 +2 12
7 Academico Viseu 8 0 12
8 Estrela 8 0 11
9 GIL Vicente 7 0 9
10 Alverca 8 -2 9
11 Maritimo 8 -4 9
12 Moreirense 8 -6 9
13 Famalicao 8 +2 8
14 Vitória SC 8 -3 6
15 Nacional 8 -8 5
16 Rio Ave 8 -10 5
17 Casa Pia 8 -13 5
18 Estoril 8 -7 3
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