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FC Porto vs Benfica prediction — Primeira Liga

Primeira Liga · Portugal
FC Porto €464.80m
Full time 3 : 1
Benfica €374.05m
1 2.82
X 3.35
2 2.52

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Lost ✗
82%Chance
Away side avoids defeat X2 Odds @1.45 Very high chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
FC Porto 18%@2.82
Draw 16%@3.35
Benfica 66%@2.52
Goals lineOver/Under 1.5
Over 1.5 71%@1.30
Under 1.5 29%@3.18
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 57%@1.70
No 43%@2.20
Bet Builder
X2 & Over 1.5 58%@1.80
Half-time 1:1 Model
Exact score 1:2 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

FC PortoModelBenfica
1.80xG1.77
47%Ball possession53%
13Shots18
5Shots on goal6
6Corner kicks6
1Yellow cards2
3Offside calls2
13Fouls made12
FC PortoRealBenfica
1.31xG0.80
45%Ball possession55%
20Shots12
7Shots on goal3
3Corner kicks3
3Yellow cards5
2Offside calls0
17Fouls made12
FC PortoReal · ModelBenfica
1.311.80xG0.801.77
45%47%Ball possession55%53%
2013Shots1218
75Shots on goal36
36Corner kicks36
31Yellow cards52
23Offside calls02
1713Fouls made1212

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

FC PortoPer gameBenfica
1.8Goals for / game3.0
0.6Goals against / game0.7
53%Ball possession62%
13.6Shots per game19.8
6.4Corners per game7.5
2.06Expected goals2.35

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

FC PortoRateBenfica
80%Wins80%
80%Over 1.5100%
40%Over 2.580%
30%BTTS60%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

FC Porto WWLWW
W 2 Oct Dep. A Coruna(Esp) FC Porto(Por) 1 3 2.23 3.10
W 12 Sept Casa Pia FC Porto 1 4 16.00 1.22
L 8 Sept FC Porto(Por) Manchester City(Eng) 0 2 5.25 1.73
W 4 Sept FC Porto Moreirense 2 1 1.14 32.00
W 29 Aug Academico Viseu FC Porto 0 3 10.75 1.34
W 23 Aug FC Porto Arouca 2 0 1.32 12.00
W 15 Aug Rio Ave FC Porto 0 2 8.75 1.41
W 9 Aug FC Porto Alverca 2 0 1.23 16.50
W 1 Aug FC Porto Torreense 1 0 1.22 14.50
W 25 Jul FC Porto Aston Villa 2 1 2.28 3.20
Benfica WWWWW
W 16 Sept AC Milan(Ita) Benfica(Por) 0 2 2.30 3.20
W 13 Sept Benfica GIL Vicente 3 1 1.14 23.00
W 9 Sept Moreirense Benfica 0 4 21.00 1.17
W 5 Sept Maritimo Benfica 0 3 16.50 1.21
W 31 Aug Benfica Estoril 2 1 1.13 24.00
W 27 Aug Aarhus(Den) Benfica(Por) 1 3 7.20 1.44
W 20 Aug Benfica(Por) Aarhus(Den) 3 1 1.14 19.00
W 17 Aug Casa Pia Benfica 0 7 17.00 1.22
D 13 Aug Heart M(Sco) Benfica(Por) 1 1 7.00 1.49
D 9 Aug Benfica Academico Viseu 2 2 1.14 21.00

Past meetings

FC Porto
2·2·2
Benfica
  • Mar 2026 Benfica 2 - 2 FC Porto
  • Jan 2026 FC Porto 1 - 0 Benfica
  • Oct 2025 FC Porto 0 - 0 Benfica
  • Apr 2025 FC Porto 1 - 4 Benfica
  • Nov 2024 Benfica 4 - 1 FC Porto
  • Mar 2024 FC Porto 5 - 0 Benfica

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 FC Porto 8 +15 22
2 Benfica 8 +15 17
3 Sporting CP 8 +9 16
4 Santa Clara 8 +7 16
5 Arouca 8 +3 12
6 Braga 7 +2 12
7 Academico Viseu 8 0 12
8 Estrela 8 0 11
9 GIL Vicente 7 0 9
10 Alverca 8 -2 9
11 Maritimo 8 -4 9
12 Moreirense 8 -6 9
13 Famalicao 8 +2 8
14 Vitória SC 8 -3 6
15 Nacional 8 -8 5
16 Rio Ave 8 -10 5
17 Casa Pia 8 -13 5
18 Estoril 8 -7 3
AI Bet Builder: your accumulator, assembled by the model Bet of the Day