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FC Porto vs Arouca prediction — Primeira Liga

Primeira Liga · Portugal
FC Porto €466.30m
Full time 2 : 0
Arouca €27.98m
1 1.32
X 6.00
2 12.00

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
85%Chance
FC Porto win 1 Odds @1.32 Very high chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
FC Porto 85%@1.32
Draw 10%@6.00
Arouca 5%@12.00
Goals lineOver/Under 3.5
Over 3.5 26%@4.33
Under 3.5 74%@1.52
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 46%@2.28
No 54%@1.74
Bet Builder
1X & Under 4.5 83%@1.33
Half-time 2:0 Model
Exact score 2:0 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

FC PortoModelArouca
2.25xG1.02
53%Ball possession47%
15Shots9
8Shots on goal4
7Corner kicks3
2Yellow cards3
1Offside calls2
13Fouls made11
FC PortoRealArouca
2.99xG0.55
53%Ball possession47%
23Shots5
10Shots on goal1
12Corner kicks2
1Yellow cards0
5Offside calls1
16Fouls made8
FC PortoReal · ModelArouca
2.992.25xG0.551.02
53%53%Ball possession47%47%
2315Shots59
108Shots on goal14
127Corner kicks23
12Yellow cards03
51Offside calls12
1613Fouls made811

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

FC PortoPer gameArouca
1.2Goals for / game1.6
0.6Goals against / game0.9
56%Ball possession50%
13.9Shots per game11.2
6.1Corners per game3.8
1.84Expected goals1.27

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

FC PortoRateArouca
70%Wins50%
50%Over 1.570%
30%Over 2.560%
30%BTTS40%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

FC Porto WWWLW
W 2 Oct Dep. A Coruna(Esp) FC Porto(Por) 1 3 2.23 3.10
W 20 Sept FC Porto Benfica 3 1 2.82 2.52
W 12 Sept Casa Pia FC Porto 1 4 16.00 1.22
L 8 Sept FC Porto(Por) Manchester City(Eng) 0 2 5.25 1.73
W 4 Sept FC Porto Moreirense 2 1 1.14 32.00
W 29 Aug Academico Viseu FC Porto 0 3 10.75 1.34
W 15 Aug Rio Ave FC Porto 0 2 8.75 1.41
W 9 Aug FC Porto Alverca 2 0 1.23 16.50
W 1 Aug FC Porto Torreense 1 0 1.22 14.50
W 25 Jul FC Porto Aston Villa 2 1 2.28 3.20
Arouca DLDWW
D 19 Sept Sporting CP Arouca 2 2 1.19 16.50
L 13 Sept Arouca Santa Clara 1 2 2.60 2.90
D 7 Sept Estoril Arouca 0 0 2.67 2.70
W 29 Aug Arouca Maritimo 2 1 2.20 3.50
W 16 Aug Arouca Moreirense 4 0 1.92 4.20
W 8 Aug Vitória SC Arouca 0 1 1.95 4.00
W 1 Aug Lusitania FC Arouca 0 2 – –
L 25 Jul Santa Clara Arouca 3 0 2.40 2.50
D 22 Jul Famalicao Arouca 0 0 – –
L 11 Jul Rio Ave Arouca 2 1 – –

Past meetings

FC Porto
4·0·1
Arouca
  • Feb 2026 FC Porto 3 - 1 Arouca
  • Sept 2025 Arouca 0 - 4 FC Porto
  • Mar 2025 Arouca 0 - 2 FC Porto
  • Sept 2024 FC Porto 4 - 0 Arouca
  • Feb 2024 Arouca 3 - 2 FC Porto

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 FC Porto 8 +15 22
2 Benfica 8 +15 17
3 Sporting CP 8 +9 16
4 Santa Clara 8 +7 16
5 Arouca 8 +3 12
6 Braga 7 +2 12
7 Academico Viseu 8 0 12
8 Estrela 8 0 11
9 GIL Vicente 7 0 9
10 Alverca 8 -2 9
11 Maritimo 8 -4 9
12 Moreirense 8 -6 9
13 Famalicao 8 +2 8
14 Vitória SC 8 -3 6
15 Nacional 8 -8 5
16 Rio Ave 8 -10 5
17 Casa Pia 8 -13 5
18 Estoril 8 -7 3
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