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FC Porto vs Alverca prediction — Primeira Liga

Primeira Liga · Portugal
FC Porto €426.90m
Full time 2 : 0
Alverca €33.55m
1 1.23
X 6.70
2 16.50

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
78%Chance
FC Porto win 1 Odds @1.23 High chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
FC Porto 78%@1.23
Draw 16%@6.70
Alverca 6%@16.50
Goals lineOver/Under 3.5
Over 3.5 21%@5.64
Under 3.5 79%@1.50
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 42%@2.50
No 58%@1.52
Bet Builder
1X & Under 4.5 89%@1.29
Half-time 1:0 Model
Exact score 2:0 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

FC PortoModelAlverca
2.09xG0.90
54%Ball possession46%
17Shots9
9Shots on goal4
6Corner kicks5
3Yellow cards2
1Offside calls2
13Fouls made12
FC PortoRealAlverca
2.59xG1.66
54%Ball possession46%
10Shots15
4Shots on goal5
7Corner kicks9
0Yellow cards4
0Offside calls0
13Fouls made10
FC PortoReal · ModelAlverca
2.592.09xG1.660.90
54%54%Ball possession46%46%
1017Shots159
49Shots on goal54
76Corner kicks95
03Yellow cards42
01Offside calls02
1313Fouls made1012

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

FC PortoPer gameAlverca
1.0Goals for / game0.9
0.7Goals against / game0.7
55%Ball possession44%
14.9Shots per game8.4
5.6Corners per game5.4
1.78Expected goals0.88

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

FC PortoRateAlverca
60%Wins50%
40%Over 1.540%
30%Over 2.520%
30%BTTS30%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

FC Porto WWWLW
W 2 Oct Dep. A Coruna(Esp) FC Porto(Por) 1 3 2.23 3.10
W 20 Sept FC Porto Benfica 3 1 2.82 2.52
W 12 Sept Casa Pia FC Porto 1 4 16.00 1.22
L 8 Sept FC Porto(Por) Manchester City(Eng) 0 2 5.25 1.73
W 4 Sept FC Porto Moreirense 2 1 1.14 32.00
W 29 Aug Academico Viseu FC Porto 0 3 10.75 1.34
W 23 Aug FC Porto Arouca 2 0 1.32 12.00
W 15 Aug Rio Ave FC Porto 0 2 8.75 1.41
W 1 Aug FC Porto Torreense 1 0 1.22 14.50
W 25 Jul FC Porto Aston Villa 2 1 2.28 3.20
Alverca WWLDL
W 19 Sept Alverca Rio Ave 1 0 1.87 4.70
W 12 Sept Nacional Alverca 1 3 2.92 2.60
L 5 Sept Alverca Braga 1 2 5.10 1.82
D 29 Aug Alverca Santa Clara 1 1 2.70 2.95
L 22 Aug Sporting CP Alverca 3 1 1.25 15.50
D 15 Aug Alverca Estrela 2 2 2.16 3.75
W 1 Aug Alverca Sporting CP B 1 0 – –
L 25 Jul Mafra Alverca 1 0 – –
W 22 Jul Alverca Estoril 2 0 – –
W 17 Jul Alverca Os Belenenses 2 1 – –

Past meetings

FC Porto
2·0·0
Alverca
  • May 2026 FC Porto 1 - 0 Alverca
  • Dec 2025 Alverca 0 - 3 FC Porto

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 FC Porto 8 +15 22
2 Benfica 8 +15 17
3 Sporting CP 8 +9 16
4 Santa Clara 8 +7 16
5 Arouca 8 +3 12
6 Braga 7 +2 12
7 Academico Viseu 8 0 12
8 Estrela 8 0 11
9 GIL Vicente 7 0 9
10 Alverca 8 -2 9
11 Maritimo 8 -4 9
12 Moreirense 8 -6 9
13 Famalicao 8 +2 8
14 Vitória SC 8 -3 6
15 Nacional 8 -8 5
16 Rio Ave 8 -10 5
17 Casa Pia 8 -13 5
18 Estoril 8 -7 3
AI Bet Builder: your accumulator, assembled by the model Bet of the Day