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Estrela vs Sporting CP prediction — Primeira Liga

Primeira Liga · Portugal
Estrela €21.00m
Full time 2 : 2
Sporting CP €466.00m
1 10.00
X 5.55
2 1.36

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
77%Chance
Over 2.5 goals O2.5 Odds @1.67 High chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Estrela 13%@10.00
Draw 23%@5.55
Sporting CP 64%@1.36
Goals lineOver/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 77%@1.67
Under 2.5 23%@5.59
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 46%@2.11
No 54%@1.76
Half-time 0:1 Model
Exact score 0:3 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

EstrelaModelSporting CP
1.14xG2.08
40%Ball possession60%
9Shots18
4Shots on goal8
2Corner kicks8
3Yellow cards1
2Offside calls2
14Fouls made11
EstrelaRealSporting CP
1.01xG2.62
44%Ball possession56%
9Shots15
4Shots on goal8
5Corner kicks4
2Yellow cards2
1Offside calls2
13Fouls made14
EstrelaReal · ModelSporting CP
1.011.14xG2.622.08
44%40%Ball possession56%60%
99Shots1518
44Shots on goal88
52Corner kicks48
23Yellow cards21
12Offside calls22
1314Fouls made1411

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

EstrelaPer gameSporting CP
1.6Goals for / game3.3
1.2Goals against / game0.9
38%Ball possession65%
10.6Shots per game19.0
3.0Corners per game7.8
1.51Expected goals2.55

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

EstrelaRateSporting CP
40%Wins70%
80%Over 1.5100%
50%Over 2.580%
60%BTTS70%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Estrela LDWDW
L 20 Sept Estrela Academico Viseu 0 2 2.22 3.55
D 14 Sept Rio Ave Estrela 3 3 2.92 2.55
W 10 Sept Estrela Braga 2 1 6.10 1.62
D 5 Sept Estrela Famalicao 2 2 3.05 2.52
W 30 Aug Nacional Estrela 2 3 2.40 3.15
D 15 Aug Alverca Estrela 2 2 2.16 3.75
W 1 Aug Estrela Al-Nassr 4 2 3.15 2.10
D 29 Jul Estrela Portimonense 1 1 – –
D 25 Jul Estrela Os Belenenses 0 0 – –
W 23 Jul Estrela Nacional 2 0 – –
Sporting CP DDWWW
D 19 Sept Sporting CP Arouca 2 2 1.19 16.50
D 13 Sept Famalicao Sporting CP 1 1 6.10 1.60
W 9 Sept Sporting CP(Por) Galatasaray(Tur) 3 1 1.70 5.10
W 5 Sept Sporting CP Nacional 2 0 1.15 24.00
W 28 Aug Rio Ave Sporting CP 0 4 8.50 1.40
W 22 Aug Sporting CP Alverca 3 1 1.25 15.50
W 14 Aug Sporting CP Vitória SC 3 2 1.44 9.00
W 31 Jul Sporting CP Nottingham 4 1 2.10 3.45
W 25 Jul Sporting CP Monaco 2 0 1.80 4.00
W 20 Jul Sporting CP Strasbourg 7 0 1.52 5.30

Past meetings

Estrela
0·0·5
Sporting CP
  • Apr 2026 Estrela 0 - 1 Sporting CP
  • Nov 2025 Sporting CP 4 - 0 Estrela
  • Mar 2025 Estrela 0 - 3 Sporting CP
  • Nov 2024 Sporting CP 5 - 1 Estrela
  • Mar 2024 Estrela 1 - 2 Sporting CP

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 FC Porto 8 +15 22
2 Benfica 8 +15 17
3 Sporting CP 8 +9 16
4 Santa Clara 8 +7 16
5 Arouca 8 +3 12
6 Braga 7 +2 12
7 Academico Viseu 8 0 12
8 Estrela 8 0 11
9 GIL Vicente 7 0 9
10 Alverca 8 -2 9
11 Maritimo 8 -4 9
12 Moreirense 8 -6 9
13 Famalicao 8 +2 8
14 Vitória SC 8 -3 6
15 Nacional 8 -8 5
16 Rio Ave 8 -10 5
17 Casa Pia 8 -13 5
18 Estoril 8 -7 3
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