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Estrela vs Braga prediction — Primeira Liga

Primeira Liga · Portugal
Estrela €26.98m
Full time 2 : 1
Braga €151.80m
1 6.10
X 4.05
2 1.62

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Lost ✗
83%Chance
Away side avoids defeat X2 Odds @1.16 Very high chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Estrela 17%@6.10
Draw 26%@4.05
Braga 57%@1.62
Goals lineOver/Under 3.5
Over 3.5 29%@3.23
Under 3.5 71%@1.32
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 47%@2.06
No 53%@1.85
Bet Builder
X2 & Under 4.5 67%@1.34
Half-time 0:0 Model
Exact score 0:1 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

EstrelaModelBraga
1.07xG1.42
43%Ball possession57%
9Shots12
4Shots on goal7
3Corner kicks4
3Yellow cards2
1Offside calls2
12Fouls made14
EstrelaRealBraga
0.58xG0.59
37%Ball possession63%
9Shots9
5Shots on goal4
5Corner kicks9
2Yellow cards1
0Offside calls1
12Fouls made14
EstrelaReal · ModelBraga
0.581.07xG0.591.42
37%43%Ball possession63%57%
99Shots912
54Shots on goal47
53Corner kicks94
23Yellow cards12
01Offside calls12
1212Fouls made1414

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

EstrelaPer gameBraga
2.0Goals for / game1.5
1.3Goals against / game0.5
47%Ball possession59%
13.8Shots per game11.2
4.0Corners per game3.7
1.65Expected goals1.43

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

EstrelaRateBraga
50%Wins60%
90%Over 1.550%
60%Over 2.540%
70%BTTS30%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Estrela LDDWD
L 20 Sept Estrela Academico Viseu 0 2 2.22 3.55
D 14 Sept Rio Ave Estrela 3 3 2.92 2.55
D 5 Sept Estrela Famalicao 2 2 3.05 2.52
W 30 Aug Nacional Estrela 2 3 2.40 3.15
D 15 Aug Alverca Estrela 2 2 2.16 3.75
D 8 Aug Estrela Sporting CP 2 2 10.00 1.36
W 1 Aug Estrela Al-Nassr 4 2 3.15 2.10
D 29 Jul Estrela Portimonense 1 1 – –
D 25 Jul Estrela Os Belenenses 0 0 – –
W 23 Jul Estrela Nacional 2 0 – –
Braga DWWWD
D 20 Sept Santa Clara Braga 0 0 3.60 2.27
W 14 Sept Braga Estoril 1 0 1.44 8.50
W 5 Sept Alverca Braga 1 2 5.10 1.82
W 31 Aug Braga Vitoria SC 1 0 1.92 4.70
D 27 Aug Austria Vienna(Aut) Braga(Por) 0 0 4.00 2.08
W 20 Aug Braga(Por) Austria Vienna(Aut) 2 0 1.44 8.75
D 13 Aug Din. Minsk(Blr) Braga(Por) 0 0 9.10 1.39
D 9 Aug Moreirense Braga 2 2 6.30 1.60
W 6 Aug Braga Din. Minsk 1 0 1.16 21.00
W 30 Jul Braga Zeleznicar P 4 0 1.18 17.50

Past meetings

Estrela
0·3·2
Braga
  • May 2026 Braga 2 - 2 Estrela
  • Jan 2026 Estrela 3 - 3 Braga
  • Jan 2025 Estrela 0 - 1 Braga
  • Aug 2024 Braga 1 - 1 Estrela
  • Mar 2024 Braga 3 - 0 Estrela

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 FC Porto 8 +15 22
2 Benfica 8 +15 17
3 Sporting CP 8 +9 16
4 Santa Clara 8 +7 16
5 Arouca 8 +3 12
6 Braga 7 +2 12
7 Academico Viseu 8 0 12
8 Estrela 8 0 11
9 GIL Vicente 7 0 9
10 Alverca 8 -2 9
11 Maritimo 8 -4 9
12 Moreirense 8 -6 9
13 Famalicao 8 +2 8
14 Vitória SC 8 -3 6
15 Nacional 8 -8 5
16 Rio Ave 8 -10 5
17 Casa Pia 8 -13 5
18 Estoril 8 -7 3
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