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Estoril vs Rio Ave prediction — Primeira Liga

Primeira Liga · Portugal
1 2.02
X 3.55
2 3.85

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
87%Chance
Under 3.5 goals U3.5 Odds @1.38 Very high chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Estoril 51%@2.02
Draw 25%@3.55
Rio Ave 24%@3.85
Goals lineOver/Under 3.5
Over 3.5 19%@5.88
Under 3.5 81%@1.38
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 31%@1.73
No 69%@2.07
Bet Builder
1X & Under 5.5 62%@1.39
Half-time 0:0 Model
Exact score 1:0 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

EstorilModelRio Ave
0.95xG0.63
53%Ball possession47%
12Shots8
5Shots on goal3
5Corner kicks4
2Yellow cards3
2Offside calls1
13Fouls made9
EstorilRealRio Ave
1.15xG0.71
55%Ball possession45%
18Shots3
6Shots on goal3
6Corner kicks3
1Yellow cards1
0Offside calls2
11Fouls made14
EstorilReal · ModelRio Ave
1.150.95xG0.710.63
55%53%Ball possession45%47%
1812Shots38
65Shots on goal33
65Corner kicks34
12Yellow cards13
02Offside calls21
1113Fouls made149

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

EstorilPer gameRio Ave
0.8Goals for / game1.2
1.2Goals against / game1.4
50%Ball possession45%
11.3Shots per game10.0
5.0Corners per game4.5
0.97Expected goals0.73

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

EstorilRateRio Ave
10%Wins30%
80%Over 1.580%
20%Over 2.550%
50%BTTS50%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Estoril LLDLL
L 20 Sept Estoril Casa Pia 1 2 1.75 5.10
L 14 Sept Braga Estoril 1 0 1.44 8.50
D 7 Sept Estoril Arouca 0 0 2.67 2.70
L 31 Aug Benfica Estoril 2 1 1.13 24.00
L 16 Aug Nacional Estoril 2 0 3.00 2.60
D 7 Aug Estoril Famalicao 1 1 3.00 2.60
D 31 Jul Os Belenenses Estoril 1 1 4.70 1.62
D 25 Jul Estoril Torreense 0 0 1.98 3.50
L 22 Jul Alverca Estoril 2 0 – –
W 11 Jul Estoril Atletico CP 3 0 – –
Rio Ave LDLLL
L 19 Sept Alverca Rio Ave 1 0 1.87 4.70
D 14 Sept Rio Ave Estrela 3 3 2.92 2.55
L 6 Sept Santa Clara Rio Ave 4 0 2.02 4.40
L 28 Aug Rio Ave Sporting CP 0 4 8.50 1.40
L 15 Aug Rio Ave FC Porto 0 2 8.75 1.41
L 9 Aug GIL Vicente Rio Ave 1 0 2.15 3.80
W 1 Aug Rio Ave Tondela 3 1 2.27 2.77
D 23 Jul Rio Ave Vitória SC 0 0 – –
D 19 Jul Rio Ave Al Ahli SC 2 2 – –
W 15 Jul Portimonense Rio Ave 0 3 – –

Past meetings

Estoril
2·2·1
Rio Ave
  • Mar 2026 Estoril 1 - 2 Rio Ave
  • Nov 2025 Rio Ave 0 - 4 Estoril
  • Feb 2025 Estoril 2 - 1 Rio Ave
  • Sept 2024 Rio Ave 2 - 2 Estoril
  • Jan 2024 Rio Ave 1 - 1 Estoril

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 FC Porto 8 +15 22
2 Benfica 8 +15 17
3 Sporting CP 8 +9 16
4 Santa Clara 8 +7 16
5 Arouca 8 +3 12
6 Braga 7 +2 12
7 Academico Viseu 8 0 12
8 Estrela 8 0 11
9 GIL Vicente 7 0 9
10 Alverca 8 -2 9
11 Maritimo 8 -4 9
12 Moreirense 8 -6 9
13 Famalicao 8 +2 8
14 Vitória SC 8 -3 6
15 Nacional 8 -8 5
16 Rio Ave 8 -10 5
17 Casa Pia 8 -13 5
18 Estoril 8 -7 3