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Estoril vs Arouca prediction — Primeira Liga

Primeira Liga · Portugal
Estoril €41.65m
Full time 0 : 0
Arouca €27.17m
1 2.67
X 3.50
2 2.70

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
72%Chance
Under 3.5 goals U3.5 Odds @1.39 High chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Estoril 57%@2.67
Draw 19%@3.50
Arouca 24%@2.70
Goals lineOver/Under 3.5
Over 3.5 28%@3.57
Under 3.5 72%@1.39
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 55%@1.70
No 45%@2.20
Bet Builder
X2 & Under 4.5 55%@1.79
Half-time 0:0 Model
Exact score 1:1 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

EstorilModelArouca
0.86xG0.98
50%Ball possession50%
12Shots9
5Shots on goal4
4Corner kicks3
2Yellow cards3
1Offside calls1
12Fouls made10
EstorilRealArouca
0.76xG1.08
47%Ball possession53%
17Shots12
8Shots on goal2
8Corner kicks2
4Yellow cards1
0Offside calls2
12Fouls made9
EstorilReal · ModelArouca
0.760.86xG1.080.98
47%50%Ball possession53%50%
1712Shots129
85Shots on goal24
84Corner kicks23
42Yellow cards13
01Offside calls21
1212Fouls made910

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

EstorilPer gameArouca
0.8Goals for / game1.3
1.4Goals against / game0.9
48%Ball possession49%
11.8Shots per game11.2
3.8Corners per game3.2
0.97Expected goals1.30

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

EstorilRateArouca
10%Wins50%
90%Over 1.570%
30%Over 2.550%
50%BTTS30%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Estoril LLLLL
L 20 Sept Estoril Casa Pia 1 2 1.75 5.10
L 14 Sept Braga Estoril 1 0 1.44 8.50
L 31 Aug Benfica Estoril 2 1 1.13 24.00
L 22 Aug Estoril Rio Ave 0 2 2.02 3.85
L 16 Aug Nacional Estoril 2 0 3.00 2.60
D 7 Aug Estoril Famalicao 1 1 3.00 2.60
D 31 Jul Os Belenenses Estoril 1 1 4.70 1.62
D 25 Jul Estoril Torreense 0 0 1.98 3.50
L 22 Jul Alverca Estoril 2 0 – –
W 11 Jul Estoril Atletico CP 3 0 – –
Arouca DLWLW
D 19 Sept Sporting CP Arouca 2 2 1.19 16.50
L 13 Sept Arouca Santa Clara 1 2 2.60 2.90
W 29 Aug Arouca Maritimo 2 1 2.20 3.50
L 23 Aug FC Porto Arouca 2 0 1.32 12.00
W 16 Aug Arouca Moreirense 4 0 1.92 4.20
W 8 Aug Vitória SC Arouca 0 1 1.95 4.00
W 1 Aug Lusitania FC Arouca 0 2 – –
L 25 Jul Santa Clara Arouca 3 0 2.40 2.50
D 22 Jul Famalicao Arouca 0 0 – –
L 11 Jul Rio Ave Arouca 2 1 – –

Past meetings

Estoril
2·1·2
Arouca
  • Apr 2026 Arouca 3 - 2 Estoril
  • Nov 2025 Estoril 4 - 3 Arouca
  • Mar 2025 Arouca 1 - 1 Estoril
  • Oct 2024 Estoril 4 - 1 Arouca
  • Jan 2024 Estoril 1 - 2 Arouca

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 FC Porto 8 +15 22
2 Benfica 8 +15 17
3 Sporting CP 8 +9 16
4 Santa Clara 8 +7 16
5 Arouca 8 +3 12
6 Braga 7 +2 12
7 Academico Viseu 8 0 12
8 Estrela 8 0 11
9 GIL Vicente 7 0 9
10 Alverca 8 -2 9
11 Maritimo 8 -4 9
12 Moreirense 8 -6 9
13 Famalicao 8 +2 8
14 Vitória SC 8 -3 6
15 Nacional 8 -8 5
16 Rio Ave 8 -10 5
17 Casa Pia 8 -13 5
18 Estoril 8 -7 3
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