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Durango vs Leones Negros prediction — Liga de Expansión MX

Liga de Expansión MX · Mexico
Durango €1.58m
Full time 1 : 2
Leones Negros €5.12m
1 2.20
X 3.25
2 3.10

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
81%Chance
Away side avoids defeat X2 Odds @1.65 Very high chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Durango 23%@2.20
Draw 16%@3.25
Leones Negros 61%@3.10
Goals lineOver/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 33%@3.29
Under 2.5 67%@1.62
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 47%@1.92
No 53%@1.80
Bet Builder
X2 & Under 4.5 67%@1.80
Half-time 0:1 Model
Exact score 0:1 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

DurangoModelLeones Negros
53%Ball possession47%
7Shots12
1Shots on goal5
4Corner kicks4
2Yellow cards3
DurangoRealLeones Negros
61%Ball possession39%
14Shots5
7Shots on goal2
5Corner kicks0
1Yellow cards3
DurangoReal · ModelLeones Negros
61%53%Ball possession39%47%
147Shots512
71Shots on goal25
54Corner kicks04
12Yellow cards33

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

DurangoPer gameLeones Negros
0.8Goals for / game1.8
1.1Goals against / game1.4

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

DurangoRateLeones Negros
30%Wins40%
60%Over 1.5100%
40%Over 2.560%
40%BTTS70%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Durango WWWLD
W 4 Oct Durango Mineros Z 4 2 2.10 3.65
W 27 Sept Dorados Durango 0 1 2.70 2.65
W 18 Sept Durango Cruz A 2 0 1.70 5.40
L 11 Sept Alebrijes Durango 1 0 3.10 2.52
D 5 Sept Durango Tlaxcala 1 1 1.98 4.10
D 29 Aug Correcaminos Durango 0 0 2.12 3.05
L 16 Aug Cancun Durango 2 0 2.00 3.65
L 8 Aug Durango Piratas 0 3 2.22 3.00
W 1 Aug CA La Paz Durango 0 1 2.18 3.20
W 25 Jul Tepatitlan Durango 0 1 2.00 3.50
Leones Negros WWLDW
W 4 Oct Leones Negros Dorados 6 3 1.70 5.00
W 26 Sept Cruz A Leones Negros 1 2 2.55 2.65
L 20 Sept Monarcas Leones Negros 2 0 1.75 4.20
D 13 Sept Leones Negros CA La Paz 2 2 2.22 2.95
W 7 Sept Tapatio Leones Negros 1 3 2.45 3.00
D 30 Aug Leones Negros Piratas 1 1 2.35 3.00
W 16 Aug Leones Negros CDS T 4 0 2.27 3.05
L 7 Aug Leones Negros Correcaminos 1 3 1.95 3.60
W 2 Aug Cancun Leones Negros 0 2 1.95 3.90
W 25 Jul Tlaxcala Leones Negros 2 4 1.84 4.30

Past meetings

No recent games between them

For this fixture, the model works from current form and the underlying stats instead.

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Leones Negros 12 +11 24
2 Monarcas 12 +9 23
3 CA La Paz 12 +11 21
4 Venados 12 +5 20
5 Piratas 12 +6 19
6 Mineros Z 12 +4 18
7 Cancun 12 +4 18
8 Durango 12 0 18
9 Correcaminos 12 +1 17
10 Tapatio 12 +2 16
11 Dorados 12 0 14
12 Tlaxcala 12 -4 13
13 CDS T 12 -7 12
14 Alebrijes 12 -14 11
15 Cruz A 12 -7 9
16 Tepatitlan 12 -21 8
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