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Detroit vs Tampa Bay prediction — USL Championship

1 3.00
X 3.00
2 2.42

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
79%Chance
Under 3.5 goals U3.5 Odds @1.27 High chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Detroit 29%@3.00
Draw 29%@3.00
Tampa Bay 42%@2.42
Goals lineOver/Under 3.5
Over 3.5 21%@4.78
Under 3.5 79%@1.27
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 31%@1.80
No 69%@2.00
Bet Builder
X2 & Under 4.5 55%@1.55
Half-time 0:0 Model
Exact score 0:1 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

DetroitModelTampa Bay
1.12xG1.78
52%Ball possession48%
12Shots15
5Shots on goal7
5Corner kicks5
2Yellow cards2
1Offside calls1
13Fouls made15
DetroitRealTampa Bay
0.73xG0.74
44%Ball possession56%
6Shots6
2Shots on goal2
3Corner kicks4
3Yellow cards2
4Offside calls1
14Fouls made17
DetroitReal · ModelTampa Bay
0.731.12xG0.741.78
44%52%Ball possession56%48%
612Shots615
25Shots on goal27
35Corner kicks45
32Yellow cards22
41Offside calls11
1413Fouls made1715

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

DetroitPer gameTampa Bay
1.6Goals for / game1.9
0.8Goals against / game1.2
53%Ball possession51%
13.8Shots per game15.9
5.1Corners per game5.2
1.28Expected goals1.86

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

DetroitRateTampa Bay
50%Wins60%
60%Over 1.580%
40%Over 2.540%
50%BTTS40%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Detroit WWDWL
W 4 Oct Detroit Birmingham 1 0 1.65 4.60
W 1 Oct Brooklyn Detroit 1 3 3.45 2.25
D 27 Sept Detroit Colorado 0 0 2.35 3.05
W 20 Sept Detroit Pittsburgh 1 0 1.93 4.15
L 13 Sept Sacrament Detroit 1 0 2.10 3.80
D 6 Sept Detroit Hartford 1 1 1.92 4.25
D 30 Aug Louisville City Detroit 0 0 1.80 4.20
D 16 Aug Detroit Loudoun 0 0 1.59 5.00
W 9 Aug FC Tulsa Detroit 0 1 2.55 2.82
D 2 Aug Miami FC Detroit 2 2 3.65 1.95
Tampa Bay LDWLW
L 4 Oct Tampa Bay Miami FC 1 2 1.41 6.80
D 27 Sept San Antonio Tampa Bay 0 0 3.40 2.07
W 20 Sept Tampa Bay Birmingham 4 0 1.36 7.20
L 13 Sept Hartford Tampa Bay 3 1 3.55 2.02
W 6 Sept Tampa Bay Brooklyn 2 0 1.30 8.40
D 29 Aug Pittsburgh Tampa Bay 0 0 3.15 2.40
W 16 Aug Tampa Bay Rhode Island 2 0 1.92 3.80
D 13 Aug Tampa Bay Louisville City 0 0 2.63 2.67
W 9 Aug Orange C Tampa Bay 0 3 4.00 1.77
W 2 Aug Tampa Bay Louisville City 5 4 2.00 3.30

Past meetings

Detroit
1·3·0
Tampa Bay
  • Oct 2025 Tampa Bay 1 - 1 Detroit
  • Nov 2024 Detroit 1 - 1 Tampa Bay
  • Aug 2024 Tampa Bay 2 - 3 Detroit
  • Jul 2024 Detroit 1 - 1 Tampa Bay

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Tampa Bay 27 +21 52
2 Charleston 27 +21 47
3 El Paso 27 +11 47
4 New Mexico 28 +9 47
5 Sacrament 28 +12 45
6 Lexington 28 +16 44
7 Detroit 26 +9 44
8 FC Tulsa 28 +7 43
9 Colorado 28 +3 41
10 Hartford 28 +3 41
11 Rhode Island 28 +10 40
12 Orange C 28 -6 40
13 Pittsburgh 28 +1 39
14 San Antonio 28 0 39
15 Louisville City 27 +1 38
16 Las V 28 -3 37
17 Miami FC 29 -7 37
18 Indy Eleven 28 0 35
19 Oakland Roots 28 -2 35
20 Phoenix Rising 28 -4 34
21 Loudoun 28 -12 26
22 Birmingham 27 -7 24
23 Monterey Bay 28 -18 22
24 Brooklyn 27 -28 18
25 Sporting JAX 27 -37 15