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Detroit vs Birmingham prediction — USL Championship

1 1.65
X 3.90
2 4.60

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Lost ✗
67%Chance
Over 1.5 goals O1.5 Odds @1.24 High chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Detroit 54%@1.65
Draw 25%@3.90
Birmingham 21%@4.60
Goals lineOver/Under 1.5
Over 1.5 67%@1.24
Under 1.5 33%@2.52
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 55%@1.75
No 45%@2.08
Bet Builder
X2 & Under 4.5 55%@2.71
Half-time 0:0 Model
Exact score 1:1 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

DetroitModelBirmingham
1.13xG1.27
52%Ball possession48%
11Shots11
4Shots on goal4
5Corner kicks4
2Yellow cards2
2Offside calls3
12Fouls made11
DetroitRealBirmingham
1.48xG0.43
43%Ball possession57%
8Shots5
3Shots on goal1
1Corner kicks4
3Yellow cards3
2Offside calls3
19Fouls made15
DetroitReal · ModelBirmingham
1.481.13xG0.431.27
43%52%Ball possession57%48%
811Shots511
34Shots on goal14
15Corner kicks44
32Yellow cards32
22Offside calls33
1912Fouls made1511

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

DetroitPer gameBirmingham
0.9Goals for / game2.0
0.5Goals against / game2.3
52%Ball possession48%
10.1Shots per game12.4
4.7Corners per game3.8
0.96Expected goals1.55

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

DetroitRateBirmingham
40%Wins20%
30%Over 1.590%
20%Over 2.590%
30%BTTS70%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Detroit WDWLD
W 1 Oct Brooklyn Detroit 1 3 3.45 2.25
D 27 Sept Detroit Colorado 0 0 2.35 3.05
W 20 Sept Detroit Pittsburgh 1 0 1.93 4.15
L 13 Sept Sacrament Detroit 1 0 2.10 3.80
D 6 Sept Detroit Hartford 1 1 1.92 4.25
D 30 Aug Louisville City Detroit 0 0 1.80 4.20
W 23 Aug Detroit Tampa Bay 1 0 3.00 2.42
D 16 Aug Detroit Loudoun 0 0 1.59 5.00
W 9 Aug FC Tulsa Detroit 0 1 2.55 2.82
D 2 Aug Miami FC Detroit 2 2 3.65 1.95
Birmingham WLDDD
W 23 Sept Birmingham Brooklyn 4 0 1.59 4.65
L 20 Sept Tampa Bay Birmingham 4 0 1.36 7.20
D 17 Sept Birmingham New Mexico 4 4 2.32 2.68
D 13 Sept Birmingham Charleston 2 2 3.25 2.05
D 6 Sept Indy Eleven Birmingham 2 2 1.63 4.50
L 30 Aug Hartford Birmingham 3 2 2.02 3.30
L 23 Aug Birmingham Sporting JAX 2 3 1.61 4.65
L 16 Aug Colorado Birmingham 3 2 1.53 6.00
W 3 Aug Birmingham Rhode Island 1 0 3.20 2.15
L 30 Jul Louisville City Birmingham 2 1 1.40 6.40

Past meetings

Detroit
2·2·1
Birmingham
  • Jul 2026 Birmingham 1 - 2 Detroit
  • May 2025 Birmingham 1 - 1 Detroit
  • Mar 2025 Detroit 2 - 2 Birmingham
  • Aug 2024 Birmingham 0 - 1 Detroit
  • Jun 2024 Detroit 1 - 2 Birmingham

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Tampa Bay 27 +21 52
2 Charleston 27 +21 47
3 El Paso 27 +11 47
4 New Mexico 28 +9 47
5 Sacrament 28 +12 45
6 Lexington 28 +16 44
7 Detroit 26 +9 44
8 FC Tulsa 28 +7 43
9 Colorado 28 +3 41
10 Hartford 28 +3 41
11 Rhode Island 28 +10 40
12 Orange C 28 -6 40
13 Pittsburgh 28 +1 39
14 San Antonio 28 0 39
15 Louisville City 27 +1 38
16 Las V 28 -3 37
17 Miami FC 29 -7 37
18 Indy Eleven 28 0 35
19 Oakland Roots 28 -2 35
20 Phoenix Rising 28 -4 34
21 Loudoun 28 -12 26
22 Birmingham 27 -7 24
23 Monterey Bay 28 -18 22
24 Brooklyn 27 -28 18
25 Sporting JAX 27 -37 15