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Defensor Sp. vs Danubio prediction — Primera División

Primera División · Uruguay
Defensor Sp. €10.05m
Full time 1 : 0
Danubio €5.75m
1 2.28
X 3.15
2 3.10

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
78%Chance
Home side avoids defeat 1X Odds @1.38 High chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Defensor Sp. 61%@2.28
Draw 19%@3.15
Danubio 20%@3.10
Goals lineOver/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 23%@5.59
Under 2.5 77%@1.67
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 44%@1.88
No 56%@1.85
Bet Builder
1X & Under 4.5 70%@1.55
Half-time 0:0 Model
Exact score 1:0 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

Defensor Sp.ModelDanubio
51%Ball possession49%
9Shots7
4Shots on goal3
6Corner kicks5
2Yellow cards2
Defensor Sp.RealDanubio
47%Ball possession53%
7Shots6
4Shots on goal1
2Corner kicks8
2Yellow cards3
Defensor Sp.Real · ModelDanubio
47%51%Ball possession53%49%
79Shots67
44Shots on goal13
26Corner kicks85
22Yellow cards32

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

Defensor Sp.Per gameDanubio
0.9Goals for / game0.6
1.5Goals against / game1.3
52%Ball possession53%
9.2Shots per game7.4
5.5Corners per game5.9

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

Defensor Sp.RateDanubio
20%Wins10%
70%Over 1.560%
40%Over 2.520%
60%BTTS40%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Defensor Sp. LLLWD
L 3 Oct Albion Defensor Sp. 3 2 2.81 2.55
L 30 Sept Defensor Sp. Plaza Colonia 0 1 1.75 5.10
L 20 Sept Nacional Defensor Sp. 3 2 1.71 4.65
W 13 Sept Defensor Sp. Maldonado 1 0 2.75 2.57
D 9 Sept Cerro Largo Defensor Sp. 1 1 3.05 2.60
D 6 Sept Central Esp. Defensor Sp. 1 1 3.25 2.30
L 29 Aug Defensor Sp. Torque 1 3 3.20 2.23
D 25 Aug Defensor Sp. Rentistas 0 0 1.67 4.75
D 22 Aug Cerro Largo Defensor Sp. 1 1 2.90 2.55
L 16 Aug Defensor Sp. Liverpool M. 0 4 2.63 2.70
Danubio WDDDL
W 4 Oct Danubio Cerro Largo 2 1 2.02 3.60
D 24 Sept Danubio Penarol 1 1 2.65 2.92
D 20 Sept Danubio Wanderers 1 1 2.20 3.30
D 13 Sept Juventud Danubio 1 1 2.05 3.65
L 5 Sept Danubio Penarol 0 4 5.00 1.73
L 2 Sept Torque Danubio 2 0 2.05 3.60
L 29 Aug Progreso Danubio 1 0 3.00 2.43
W 26 Aug Danubio Atenas 3 2 1.88 4.25
D 23 Aug Danubio Racing M 0 0 3.25 2.28
D 14 Aug Boston River Danubio 0 0 2.42 3.05

Past meetings

Defensor Sp.
2·3·0
Danubio
  • Mar 2026 Danubio 0 - 0 Defensor Sp.
  • Sept 2025 Defensor Sp. 2 - 1 Danubio
  • Mar 2025 Danubio 1 - 1 Defensor Sp.
  • Oct 2024 Danubio 1 - 1 Defensor Sp.
  • Mar 2024 Defensor Sp. 1 - 0 Danubio

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Penarol 33 +29 67
2 Maldonado 32 +22 59
3 Torque 32 +17 56
4 Racing M 32 +11 54
5 Nacional 32 +7 51
6 Wanderers 33 0 51
7 Liverpool M. 31 +11 47
8 Central Esp. 32 -10 39
9 Albion 31 0 38
10 Juventud 31 -3 38
11 Defensor Sp. 32 -8 36
12 Cerro Largo 32 -7 34
13 Cerro 32 -22 34
14 Danubio 32 -14 30
15 Boston River 31 -14 29
16 Progreso 32 -19 29
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