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Danubio vs Penarol prediction — Primera División

Primera División · Uruguay
Danubio €6.03m
Full time 0 : 4
Penarol €31.25m
1 5.00
X 3.40
2 1.73

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Lost ✗
89%Chance
Under 2.5 goals U2.5 Odds @1.55 Very high chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Danubio 17%@5.00
Draw 26%@3.40
Penarol 57%@1.73
Goals lineOver/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 11%@12.54
Under 2.5 89%@1.55
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 12%@2.25
No 88%@1.60
Bet Builder
X2 & Under 4.5 82%@1.31
Half-time 0:0 Model
Exact score 0:1 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

DanubioModelPenarol
52%Ball possession48%
6Shots10
2Shots on goal5
5Corner kicks5
3Yellow cards3
DanubioRealPenarol
50%Ball possession50%
9Shots13
5Shots on goal9
7Corner kicks3
DanubioReal · ModelPenarol
50%52%Ball possession50%48%
96Shots1310
52Shots on goal95
75Corner kicks35

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

DanubioPer gamePenarol
0.6Goals for / game1.6
1.0Goals against / game0.5
53%Ball possession51%
6.4Shots per game9.5
5.5Corners per game4.7

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

DanubioRatePenarol
10%Wins60%
40%Over 1.550%
20%Over 2.540%
30%BTTS30%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Danubio WLDDL
W 4 Oct Danubio Cerro Largo 2 1 2.02 3.60
L 27 Sept Defensor Sp. Danubio 1 0 2.28 3.10
D 20 Sept Danubio Wanderers 1 1 2.20 3.30
D 13 Sept Juventud Danubio 1 1 2.05 3.65
L 5 Sept Danubio Penarol 0 4 5.00 1.73
L 2 Sept Torque Danubio 2 0 2.05 3.60
L 29 Aug Progreso Danubio 1 0 3.00 2.43
W 26 Aug Danubio Atenas 3 2 1.88 4.25
D 23 Aug Danubio Racing M 0 0 3.25 2.28
D 14 Aug Boston River Danubio 0 0 2.42 3.05
Penarol WDWWW
W 4 Oct Racing M Penarol 0 1 3.55 2.12
D 1 Oct Torque Penarol 1 1 3.20 2.25
W 26 Sept Penarol Boston River 2 1 1.50 6.50
W 19 Sept Cerro Penarol 1 2 6.40 1.53
W 13 Sept Penarol Albion 3 1 1.42 7.60
W 5 Sept Danubio Penarol 0 4 5.00 1.73
D 3 Sept Atenas Penarol 2 2 5.50 1.67
L 30 Aug Penarol Nacional 0 1 2.27 3.25
W 27 Aug Penarol Torque 1 0 2.25 3.50
D 22 Aug Maldonado Penarol 0 0 4.20 2.02

Past meetings

Danubio
0·1·5
Penarol
  • Sept 2026 Danubio 0 - 4 Penarol
  • Mar 2026 Penarol 1 - 1 Danubio
  • Oct 2025 Penarol 2 - 0 Danubio
  • Apr 2025 Danubio 0 - 1 Penarol
  • Oct 2024 Danubio 0 - 1 Penarol
  • Apr 2024 Penarol 2 - 0 Danubio

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Penarol 33 +29 67
2 Maldonado 32 +22 59
3 Torque 32 +17 56
4 Racing M 32 +11 54
5 Nacional 32 +7 51
6 Wanderers 33 0 51
7 Liverpool M. 31 +11 47
8 Central Esp. 32 -10 39
9 Albion 31 0 38
10 Juventud 31 -3 38
11 Defensor Sp. 32 -8 36
12 Cerro Largo 32 -7 34
13 Cerro 32 -22 34
14 Danubio 32 -14 30
15 Boston River 31 -14 29
16 Progreso 32 -19 29
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