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Danubio vs Cerro Largo prediction — Primera División

Primera División · Uruguay
Danubio €5.75m
Full time 2 : 1
Cerro Largo €5.43m
1 2.02
X 3.25
2 3.60

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Lost ✗
89%Chance
Under 2.5 goals U2.5 Odds @1.60 Very high chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Danubio 37%@2.02
Draw 43%@3.25
Cerro Largo 20%@3.60
Goals lineOver/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 11%@12.95
Under 2.5 89%@1.60
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 31%@2.02
No 69%@1.72
Bet Builder
1X & Under 4.5 55%@1.43
Half-time 0:0 Model
Exact score 0:0 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

DanubioModelCerro Largo
50%Ball possession50%
8Shots10
3Shots on goal4
6Corner kicks4
2Yellow cards3
3Offside calls1
9Fouls made11
DanubioRealCerro Largo
58%Ball possession42%
6Shots6
2Shots on goal2
1Corner kicks1
5Yellow cards4
DanubioReal · ModelCerro Largo
58%50%Ball possession42%50%
68Shots610
23Shots on goal24
16Corner kicks14
52Yellow cards43

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

DanubioPer gameCerro Largo
0.6Goals for / game0.7
1.3Goals against / game1.2
52%Ball possession51%
7.4Shots per game10.9
5.4Corners per game4.5

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

DanubioRateCerro Largo
10%Wins10%
60%Over 1.580%
20%Over 2.520%
40%BTTS60%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Danubio LDDDL
L 27 Sept Defensor Sp. Danubio 1 0 2.28 3.10
D 24 Sept Danubio Penarol 1 1 2.65 2.92
D 20 Sept Danubio Wanderers 1 1 2.20 3.30
D 13 Sept Juventud Danubio 1 1 2.05 3.65
L 5 Sept Danubio Penarol 0 4 5.00 1.73
L 2 Sept Torque Danubio 2 0 2.05 3.60
L 29 Aug Progreso Danubio 1 0 3.00 2.43
W 26 Aug Danubio Atenas 3 2 1.88 4.25
D 23 Aug Danubio Racing M 0 0 3.25 2.28
D 14 Aug Boston River Danubio 0 0 2.42 3.05
Cerro Largo WLLDD
W 30 Sept Cerro Largo Rentistas 1 0 1.65 5.80
L 26 Sept Cerro Largo Nacional 0 2 4.75 1.72
L 19 Sept Maldonado Cerro Largo 2 0 1.72 4.75
D 13 Sept Cerro Largo Central Esp. 0 0 2.52 2.97
D 9 Sept Cerro Largo Defensor Sp. 1 1 3.05 2.60
L 4 Sept Torque Cerro Largo 2 1 1.58 6.00
D 30 Aug Cerro Largo Liverpool M. 1 1 3.55 2.12
L 26 Aug Plaza Colonia Cerro Largo 2 1 2.48 3.30
D 22 Aug Cerro Largo Defensor Sp. 1 1 2.90 2.55
D 15 Aug Wanderers Cerro Largo 1 1 2.28 3.55

Past meetings

Danubio
0·4·2
Cerro Largo
  • Mar 2026 Cerro Largo 2 - 0 Danubio
  • Aug 2025 Cerro Largo 1 - 0 Danubio
  • Mar 2025 Cerro Largo 2 - 2 Danubio
  • Feb 2025 Danubio 0 - 0 Cerro Largo
  • Oct 2024 Cerro Largo 0 - 0 Danubio
  • Jun 2024 Cerro Largo 2 - 2 Danubio

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Penarol 33 +29 67
2 Maldonado 32 +22 59
3 Torque 32 +17 56
4 Racing M 32 +11 54
5 Nacional 32 +7 51
6 Wanderers 33 0 51
7 Liverpool M. 31 +11 47
8 Central Esp. 32 -10 39
9 Albion 31 0 38
10 Juventud 31 -3 38
11 Defensor Sp. 32 -8 36
12 Cerro Largo 32 -7 34
13 Cerro 32 -22 34
14 Danubio 32 -14 30
15 Boston River 31 -14 29
16 Progreso 32 -19 29
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