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Cerro vs Penarol prediction — Primera División

Primera División · Uruguay
Cerro €5.03m
Full time 1 : 2
Penarol €30.95m
1 6.40
X 3.85
2 1.53

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Lost ✗
73%Chance
Under 2.5 goals U2.5 Odds @1.63 High chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Cerro 16%@6.40
Draw 27%@3.85
Penarol 57%@1.53
Goals lineOver/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 27%@4.41
Under 2.5 73%@1.63
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 44%@2.30
No 56%@1.56
Bet Builder
X2 & Under 3.5 82%@1.54
Half-time 0:1 Model
Exact score 0:2 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

CerroModelPenarol
45%Ball possession55%
6Shots12
3Shots on goal5
3Corner kicks6
2Yellow cards3
1Offside calls0
12Fouls made0
CerroRealPenarol
36%Ball possession64%
4Shots10
3Shots on goal6
3Corner kicks2
3Yellow cards1
CerroReal · ModelPenarol
36%45%Ball possession64%55%
46Shots1012
33Shots on goal65
33Corner kicks26
32Yellow cards13

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

CerroPer gamePenarol
1.1Goals for / game2.3
1.2Goals against / game0.6
42%Ball possession51%
6.1Shots per game10.0
2.1Corners per game5.2

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

CerroRatePenarol
50%Wins70%
70%Over 1.570%
40%Over 2.570%
50%BTTS40%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Cerro LDLWL
L 4 Oct Cerro Wanderers 0 2 2.75 2.52
D 27 Sept Juventud Cerro 0 0 1.74 5.20
L 24 Sept Cerro Maldonado 1 2 3.45 2.10
W 13 Sept Progreso Cerro 1 3 2.55 3.20
L 10 Sept Cerro Cerrito 0 2 2.00 3.70
W 6 Sept Cerro Racing M 1 0 4.50 1.87
D 1 Sept Wanderers Cerro 1 1 3.85 2.23
D 29 Aug Boston River Cerro 1 1 1.95 4.00
L 21 Aug Liverpool M. Cerro 4 0 1.63 5.40
W 15 Aug Cerro Albion 2 1 3.60 2.32
Penarol WDWDW
W 4 Oct Racing M Penarol 0 1 3.55 2.12
D 1 Oct Torque Penarol 1 1 3.20 2.25
W 26 Sept Penarol Boston River 2 1 1.50 6.50
D 24 Sept Danubio Penarol 1 1 2.65 2.92
W 13 Sept Penarol Albion 3 1 1.42 7.60
W 5 Sept Danubio Penarol 0 4 5.00 1.73
D 3 Sept Atenas Penarol 2 2 5.50 1.67
L 30 Aug Penarol Nacional 0 1 2.27 3.25
W 27 Aug Penarol Torque 1 0 2.25 3.50
D 22 Aug Maldonado Penarol 0 0 4.20 2.02

Past meetings

Cerro
1·0·5
Penarol
  • Jun 2026 Cerro 0 - 1 Penarol
  • Mar 2026 Penarol 3 - 1 Cerro
  • Oct 2025 Cerro 2 - 0 Penarol
  • Jun 2025 Penarol 2 - 0 Cerro
  • Sept 2024 Cerro 0 - 5 Penarol
  • Mar 2024 Penarol 3 - 0 Cerro

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Penarol 33 +29 67
2 Maldonado 32 +22 59
3 Torque 32 +17 56
4 Racing M 32 +11 54
5 Nacional 32 +7 51
6 Wanderers 33 0 51
7 Liverpool M. 31 +11 47
8 Central Esp. 32 -10 39
9 Albion 31 0 38
10 Juventud 31 -3 38
11 Defensor Sp. 32 -8 36
12 Cerro Largo 32 -7 34
13 Cerro 32 -22 34
14 Danubio 32 -14 30
15 Boston River 31 -14 29
16 Progreso 32 -19 29
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