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Casa Pia vs Moreirense prediction — Primeira Liga

Primeira Liga · Portugal
Casa Pia €27.30m
Full time 0 : 1
Moreirense €22.25m
1 2.67
X 3.10
2 2.92

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
77%Chance
Under 2.5 goals U2.5 Odds @1.56 High chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Casa Pia 23%@2.67
Draw 20%@3.10
Moreirense 57%@2.92
Goals lineOver/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 23%@5.22
Under 2.5 77%@1.56
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 41%@2.04
No 59%@1.78
Bet Builder
1X & Under 4.5 55%@1.59
Half-time 0:0 Model
Exact score 1:0 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

Casa PiaModelMoreirense
0.86xG0.48
48%Ball possession52%
9Shots6
4Shots on goal3
4Corner kicks3
3Yellow cards3
1Offside calls0
14Fouls made12
Casa PiaRealMoreirense
0.78xG0.28
62%Ball possession38%
14Shots6
2Shots on goal5
5Corner kicks1
1Yellow cards3
3Offside calls0
14Fouls made18
Casa PiaReal · ModelMoreirense
0.780.86xG0.280.48
62%48%Ball possession38%52%
149Shots66
24Shots on goal53
54Corner kicks13
13Yellow cards33
31Offside calls00
1414Fouls made1812

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

Casa PiaPer gameMoreirense
0.8Goals for / game1.3
1.9Goals against / game1.8
41%Ball possession55%
10.6Shots per game9.6
4.7Corners per game4.2
1.11Expected goals0.71

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

Casa PiaRateMoreirense
30%Wins20%
60%Over 1.590%
30%Over 2.570%
30%BTTS60%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Casa Pia WLDLL
W 20 Sept Estoril Casa Pia 1 2 1.75 5.10
L 12 Sept Casa Pia FC Porto 1 4 16.00 1.22
D 6 Sept Vitoria SC Casa Pia 0 0 1.50 8.25
L 24 Aug GIL Vicente Casa Pia 2 0 1.75 5.70
L 17 Aug Casa Pia Benfica 0 7 17.00 1.22
L 8 Aug Maritimo Casa Pia 1 0 2.15 4.10
L 1 Aug Leixoes Casa Pia 6 2 2.95 2.22
L 25 Jul Benfica B Casa Pia 1 0 – –
W 18 Jul Estrela Casa Pia 1 2 – –
W 28 May Casa Pia Torreense 2 0 2.47 3.70
Moreirense DWLLL
D 20 Sept Vitoria SC Moreirense 1 1 1.55 6.60
W 14 Sept Moreirense Maritimo 3 1 2.82 2.80
L 9 Sept Moreirense Benfica 0 4 21.00 1.17
L 4 Sept FC Porto Moreirense 2 1 1.14 32.00
L 16 Aug Arouca Moreirense 4 0 1.92 4.20
D 9 Aug Moreirense Braga 2 2 6.30 1.60
W 1 Aug Moreirense Amarante 2 0 1.84 4.35
D 25 Jul GIL Vicente Moreirense 2 2 – –
L 22 Jul Santa Clara Moreirense 2 1 2.85 3.55
D 18 Jul Moreirense AVS 2 2 – –

Past meetings

Casa Pia
2·1·3
Moreirense
  • Mar 2026 Casa Pia 1 - 1 Moreirense
  • Sept 2025 Moreirense 2 - 1 Casa Pia
  • Feb 2025 Moreirense 3 - 2 Casa Pia
  • Sept 2024 Casa Pia 3 - 1 Moreirense
  • May 2024 Casa Pia 0 - 1 Moreirense
  • Jan 2024 Moreirense 1 - 4 Casa Pia

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 FC Porto 8 +15 22
2 Benfica 8 +15 17
3 Sporting CP 8 +9 16
4 Santa Clara 8 +7 16
5 Arouca 8 +3 12
6 Braga 7 +2 12
7 Academico Viseu 8 0 12
8 Estrela 8 0 11
9 GIL Vicente 7 0 9
10 Alverca 8 -2 9
11 Maritimo 8 -4 9
12 Moreirense 8 -6 9
13 Famalicao 8 +2 8
14 Vitória SC 8 -3 6
15 Nacional 8 -8 5
16 Rio Ave 8 -10 5
17 Casa Pia 8 -13 5
18 Estoril 8 -7 3
AI Bet Builder: your accumulator, assembled by the model Bet of the Day