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Casa Pia vs FC Porto prediction — Primeira Liga

Primeira Liga · Portugal
Casa Pia €28.55m
Full time 1 : 4
FC Porto €464.80m
1 16.00
X 7.00
2 1.22

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Lost ✗
57%Chance
Home side avoids defeat 1X Odds @4.65 Moderate chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Casa Pia 17%@16.00
Draw 40%@7.00
FC Porto 43%@1.22
Goals lineOver/Under 3.5
Over 3.5 18%@6.97
Under 3.5 82%@1.53
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 41%@2.40
No 59%@1.56

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

Casa PiaModelFC Porto
0.61xG2.24
47%Ball possession53%
8Shots15
3Shots on goal8
4Corner kicks6
2Yellow cards1
1Offside calls3
13Fouls made13
Casa PiaRealFC Porto
1.62xG2.60
37%Ball possession63%
15Shots17
5Shots on goal4
5Corner kicks10
4Yellow cards1
0Offside calls1
13Fouls made10
Casa PiaReal · ModelFC Porto
1.620.61xG2.602.24
37%47%Ball possession63%53%
158Shots1715
53Shots on goal48
54Corner kicks106
42Yellow cards11
01Offside calls13
1313Fouls made1013

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

Casa PiaPer gameFC Porto
0.6Goals for / game1.5
1.9Goals against / game0.5
44%Ball possession52%
9.1Shots per game13.3
4.1Corners per game6.1
0.79Expected goals1.84

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

Casa PiaRateFC Porto
20%Wins80%
50%Over 1.570%
30%Over 2.530%
20%BTTS20%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Casa Pia WDLLL
W 20 Sept Estoril Casa Pia 1 2 1.75 5.10
D 6 Sept Vitoria SC Casa Pia 0 0 1.50 8.25
L 30 Aug Casa Pia Moreirense 0 1 2.67 2.92
L 24 Aug GIL Vicente Casa Pia 2 0 1.75 5.70
L 17 Aug Casa Pia Benfica 0 7 17.00 1.22
L 8 Aug Maritimo Casa Pia 1 0 2.15 4.10
L 1 Aug Leixoes Casa Pia 6 2 2.95 2.22
L 25 Jul Benfica B Casa Pia 1 0 – –
W 18 Jul Estrela Casa Pia 1 2 – –
W 28 May Casa Pia Torreense 2 0 2.47 3.70
FC Porto WWLWW
W 2 Oct Dep. A Coruna(Esp) FC Porto(Por) 1 3 2.23 3.10
W 20 Sept FC Porto Benfica 3 1 2.82 2.52
L 8 Sept FC Porto(Por) Manchester City(Eng) 0 2 5.25 1.73
W 4 Sept FC Porto Moreirense 2 1 1.14 32.00
W 29 Aug Academico Viseu FC Porto 0 3 10.75 1.34
W 23 Aug FC Porto Arouca 2 0 1.32 12.00
W 15 Aug Rio Ave FC Porto 0 2 8.75 1.41
W 9 Aug FC Porto Alverca 2 0 1.23 16.50
W 1 Aug FC Porto Torreense 1 0 1.22 14.50
W 25 Jul FC Porto Aston Villa 2 1 2.28 3.20

Past meetings

Casa Pia
1·0·4
FC Porto
  • Feb 2026 Casa Pia 2 - 1 FC Porto
  • Aug 2025 FC Porto 4 - 0 Casa Pia
  • Apr 2025 Casa Pia 0 - 1 FC Porto
  • Dec 2024 FC Porto 2 - 0 Casa Pia
  • Apr 2024 Casa Pia 1 - 2 FC Porto

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 FC Porto 8 +15 22
2 Benfica 8 +15 17
3 Sporting CP 8 +9 16
4 Santa Clara 8 +7 16
5 Arouca 8 +3 12
6 Braga 7 +2 12
7 Academico Viseu 8 0 12
8 Estrela 8 0 11
9 GIL Vicente 7 0 9
10 Alverca 8 -2 9
11 Maritimo 8 -4 9
12 Moreirense 8 -6 9
13 Famalicao 8 +2 8
14 Vitória SC 8 -3 6
15 Nacional 8 -8 5
16 Rio Ave 8 -10 5
17 Casa Pia 8 -13 5
18 Estoril 8 -7 3
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