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Casa Pia vs Benfica prediction — Primeira Liga

Primeira Liga · Portugal
Casa Pia €24.80m
Full time 0 : 7
Benfica €364.50m
1 17.00
X 7.40
2 1.22

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Lost ✗
57%Chance
Home side avoids defeat 1X Odds @4.70 Moderate chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Casa Pia 17%@17.00
Draw 40%@7.40
Benfica 43%@1.22
Goals lineOver/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 59%@1.56
Under 2.5 41%@2.24
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 46%@2.31
No 54%@1.62

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

Casa PiaModelBenfica
0.97xG2.68
42%Ball possession58%
9Shots23
5Shots on goal11
5Corner kicks9
3Yellow cards1
2Offside calls2
15Fouls made11
Casa PiaRealBenfica
0.11xG3.08
36%Ball possession64%
2Shots20
0Shots on goal8
1Corner kicks3
3Yellow cards0
1Offside calls4
11Fouls made13
Casa PiaReal · ModelBenfica
0.110.97xG3.082.68
36%42%Ball possession64%58%
29Shots2023
05Shots on goal811
15Corner kicks39
33Yellow cards01
12Offside calls42
1115Fouls made1311

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

Casa PiaPer gameBenfica
0.9Goals for / game2.8
1.3Goals against / game1.2
43%Ball possession61%
10.0Shots per game22.0
5.4Corners per game8.3
1.23Expected goals2.80

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

Casa PiaRateBenfica
30%Wins50%
50%Over 1.5100%
30%Over 2.580%
40%BTTS80%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Casa Pia WLDLL
W 20 Sept Estoril Casa Pia 1 2 1.75 5.10
L 12 Sept Casa Pia FC Porto 1 4 16.00 1.22
D 6 Sept Vitoria SC Casa Pia 0 0 1.50 8.25
L 30 Aug Casa Pia Moreirense 0 1 2.67 2.92
L 24 Aug GIL Vicente Casa Pia 2 0 1.75 5.70
L 8 Aug Maritimo Casa Pia 1 0 2.15 4.10
L 1 Aug Leixoes Casa Pia 6 2 2.95 2.22
L 25 Jul Benfica B Casa Pia 1 0 – –
W 18 Jul Estrela Casa Pia 1 2 – –
W 28 May Casa Pia Torreense 2 0 2.47 3.70
Benfica LWWWW
L 20 Sept FC Porto Benfica 3 1 2.82 2.52
W 16 Sept AC Milan(Ita) Benfica(Por) 0 2 2.30 3.20
W 13 Sept Benfica GIL Vicente 3 1 1.14 23.00
W 9 Sept Moreirense Benfica 0 4 21.00 1.17
W 5 Sept Maritimo Benfica 0 3 16.50 1.21
W 31 Aug Benfica Estoril 2 1 1.13 24.00
W 27 Aug Aarhus(Den) Benfica(Por) 1 3 7.20 1.44
W 20 Aug Benfica(Por) Aarhus(Den) 3 1 1.14 19.00
D 13 Aug Heart M(Sco) Benfica(Por) 1 1 7.00 1.49
D 9 Aug Benfica Academico Viseu 2 2 1.14 21.00

Past meetings

Casa Pia
1·2·2
Benfica
  • Apr 2026 Casa Pia 1 - 1 Benfica
  • Nov 2025 Benfica 2 - 2 Casa Pia
  • Jan 2025 Casa Pia 3 - 1 Benfica
  • Aug 2024 Benfica 3 - 0 Casa Pia
  • Mar 2024 Casa Pia 0 - 1 Benfica

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 FC Porto 8 +15 22
2 Benfica 8 +15 17
3 Sporting CP 8 +9 16
4 Santa Clara 8 +7 16
5 Arouca 8 +3 12
6 Braga 7 +2 12
7 Academico Viseu 8 0 12
8 Estrela 8 0 11
9 GIL Vicente 7 0 9
10 Alverca 8 -2 9
11 Maritimo 8 -4 9
12 Moreirense 8 -6 9
13 Famalicao 8 +2 8
14 Vitória SC 8 -3 6
15 Nacional 8 -8 5
16 Rio Ave 8 -10 5
17 Casa Pia 8 -13 5
18 Estoril 8 -7 3
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