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Cancun vs Tapatio prediction — Liga de Expansión MX

1 1.78
X 3.75
2 4.60

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Lost ✗
83%Chance
Over 2.5 goals O2.5 Odds @1.67 Very high chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Cancun 52%@1.78
Draw 26%@3.75
Tapatio 22%@4.60
Goals lineOver/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 83%@1.67
Under 2.5 17%@8.15
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 68%@1.63
No 32%@2.17
Bet Builder
1X & Over 1.5 78%@1.39
Half-time 1:0 Model
Exact score 2:1 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

CancunModelTapatio
49%Ball possession51%
15Shots10
6Shots on goal4
5Corner kicks4
2Yellow cards2
3Offside calls1
10Fouls made12
CancunRealTapatio
45%Ball possession55%
26Shots8
10Shots on goal2
8Corner kicks4
4Yellow cards2
1Offside calls0
16Fouls made5
CancunReal · ModelTapatio
45%49%Ball possession55%51%
2615Shots810
106Shots on goal24
85Corner kicks44
42Yellow cards22
13Offside calls01
1610Fouls made512

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

CancunPer gameTapatio
1.8Goals for / game1.9
1.5Goals against / game1.8
45%Ball possession47%
13.0Shots per game11.6
3.9Corners per game3.7

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

CancunRateTapatio
40%Wins40%
90%Over 1.580%
60%Over 2.570%
50%BTTS70%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Cancun LWDDW
L 26 Sept Tlaxcala Cancun 4 1 2.38 3.05
W 20 Sept Cancun Alebrijes 3 0 1.70 4.75
D 16 Sept Dorados Cancun 1 1 3.10 2.32
D 12 Sept Correcaminos Cancun 2 2 2.22 3.20
W 6 Sept Cancun Cruz A 6 0 2.10 3.55
L 28 Aug Cancun CA La Paz 1 2 2.38 2.88
W 23 Aug Piratas Cancun 0 1 1.63 5.50
W 16 Aug Cancun Durango 2 0 2.00 3.65
L 9 Aug Monarcas Cancun 4 1 1.90 4.00
L 2 Aug Cancun Leones Negros 0 2 1.95 3.90
Tapatio WLLDW
W 21 Sept Tapatio Tlaxcala 4 0 2.02 3.50
L 13 Sept Dorados Tapatio 3 1 2.43 2.67
L 7 Sept Tapatio Leones Negros 1 3 2.45 3.00
D 28 Aug Alebrijes Tapatio 1 1 3.15 2.74
W 24 Aug Tapatio Mineros Z 4 2 2.10 3.25
W 15 Aug Correcaminos Tapatio 2 3 1.88 3.95
L 9 Aug Venados Tapatio 3 2 1.81 4.10
W 2 Aug Tapatio CDS T 1 0 2.37 2.85
D 27 Jul Tapatio Cruz A 0 0 2.47 2.82
L 3 Jul Leon Tapatio 4 2 – –

Past meetings

Cancun
3·1·2
Tapatio
  • Apr 2026 Cancun 1 - 0 Tapatio
  • Apr 2026 Tapatio 1 - 1 Cancun
  • Mar 2026 Tapatio 1 - 2 Cancun
  • Sept 2025 Cancun 1 - 0 Tapatio
  • Apr 2025 Cancun 1 - 2 Tapatio
  • Oct 2024 Tapatio 2 - 0 Cancun

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Leones Negros 12 +11 24
2 Monarcas 12 +9 23
3 CA La Paz 12 +11 21
4 Venados 12 +5 20
5 Piratas 12 +6 19
6 Mineros Z 12 +4 18
7 Cancun 12 +4 18
8 Durango 12 0 18
9 Correcaminos 12 +1 17
10 Tapatio 12 +2 16
11 Dorados 12 0 14
12 Tlaxcala 12 -4 13
13 CDS T 12 -7 12
14 Alebrijes 12 -14 11
15 Cruz A 12 -7 9
16 Tepatitlan 12 -21 8