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Cancun vs Leones Negros prediction — Liga de Expansión MX

1 1.95
X 3.60
2 3.90

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
89%Chance
Over 1.5 goals O1.5 Odds @1.27 Very high chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Cancun 48%@1.95
Draw 27%@3.60
Leones Negros 25%@3.90
Goals lineOver/Under 1.5
Over 1.5 83%@1.27
Under 1.5 17%@6.20
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 69%@1.74
No 31%@2.02
Bet Builder
1X & Over 1.5 55%@1.53
Half-time 1:0 Model
Exact score 2:1 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

CancunModelLeones Negros
50%Ball possession50%
12Shots9
6Shots on goal4
4Corner kicks4
2Yellow cards3
CancunRealLeones Negros
55%Ball possession45%
10Shots10
2Shots on goal5
0Corner kicks1
2Yellow cards5
CancunReal · ModelLeones Negros
55%50%Ball possession45%50%
1012Shots109
26Shots on goal54
04Corner kicks14
22Yellow cards53

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

CancunPer gameLeones Negros
1.3Goals for / game1.2
1.4Goals against / game1.5
45%Ball possession47%
10.7Shots per game10.7
3.1Corners per game4.3

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

CancunRateLeones Negros
50%Wins20%
80%Over 1.590%
60%Over 2.550%
70%BTTS70%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Cancun WLWDD
W 4 Oct Cancun Tapatio 1 0 1.78 4.60
L 26 Sept Tlaxcala Cancun 4 1 2.38 3.05
W 20 Sept Cancun Alebrijes 3 0 1.70 4.75
D 16 Sept Dorados Cancun 1 1 3.10 2.32
D 12 Sept Correcaminos Cancun 2 2 2.22 3.20
W 6 Sept Cancun Cruz A 6 0 2.10 3.55
L 28 Aug Cancun CA La Paz 1 2 2.38 2.88
W 23 Aug Piratas Cancun 0 1 1.63 5.50
W 16 Aug Cancun Durango 2 0 2.00 3.65
L 9 Aug Monarcas Cancun 4 1 1.90 4.00
Leones Negros WWLDW
W 4 Oct Leones Negros Dorados 6 3 1.70 5.00
W 26 Sept Cruz A Leones Negros 1 2 2.55 2.65
L 20 Sept Monarcas Leones Negros 2 0 1.75 4.20
D 13 Sept Leones Negros CA La Paz 2 2 2.22 2.95
W 7 Sept Tapatio Leones Negros 1 3 2.45 3.00
D 30 Aug Leones Negros Piratas 1 1 2.35 3.00
W 23 Aug Durango Leones Negros 1 2 2.20 3.10
W 16 Aug Leones Negros CDS T 4 0 2.27 3.05
L 7 Aug Leones Negros Correcaminos 1 3 1.95 3.60
W 25 Jul Tlaxcala Leones Negros 2 4 1.84 4.30

Past meetings

Cancun
1·0·4
Leones Negros
  • Apr 2026 Leones Negros 1 - 2 Cancun
  • Nov 2025 Cancun 0 - 1 Leones Negros
  • Feb 2025 Leones Negros 1 - 0 Cancun
  • Sept 2024 Cancun 0 - 1 Leones Negros
  • Feb 2024 Leones Negros 2 - 0 Cancun

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Leones Negros 12 +11 24
2 Monarcas 12 +9 23
3 CA La Paz 12 +11 21
4 Venados 12 +5 20
5 Piratas 12 +6 19
6 Mineros Z 12 +4 18
7 Cancun 12 +4 18
8 Durango 12 0 18
9 Correcaminos 12 +1 17
10 Tapatio 12 +2 16
11 Dorados 12 0 14
12 Tlaxcala 12 -4 13
13 CDS T 12 -7 12
14 Alebrijes 12 -14 11
15 Cruz A 12 -7 9
16 Tepatitlan 12 -21 8