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Boston River vs Progreso prediction — Primera División

Primera División · Uruguay
Boston River €9.68m
Full time 1 : 2
Progreso €5.78m
1 1.95
X 3.40
2 3.85

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Lost ✗
91%Chance
Home side avoids defeat 1X Odds @1.29 Very high chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Boston River 80%@1.95
Draw 11%@3.40
Progreso 9%@3.85
Goals lineOver/Under 3.5
Over 3.5 11%@10.28
Under 3.5 89%@1.27
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 24%@1.87
No 76%@1.85
Bet Builder
1X & Under 4.5 85%@1.46
Half-time 0:0 Model
Exact score 1:0 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

Boston RiverModelProgreso
56%Ball possession44%
9Shots5
5Shots on goal2
5Corner kicks3
2Yellow cards2
1Offside calls0
14Fouls made10
Boston RiverRealProgreso
54%Ball possession46%
7Shots9
1Shots on goal5
6Corner kicks5
1Yellow cards3
Boston RiverReal · ModelProgreso
54%56%Ball possession46%44%
79Shots95
15Shots on goal52
65Corner kicks53
12Yellow cards32

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

Boston RiverPer gameProgreso
1.1Goals for / game0.5
1.2Goals against / game1.4
51%Ball possession42%
8.1Shots per game6.0
4.1Corners per game2.9

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

Boston RiverRateProgreso
40%Wins20%
60%Over 1.550%
40%Over 2.530%
40%BTTS30%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Boston River DLWLW
D 4 Oct Boston River Juventud 0 0 2.62 2.70
L 26 Sept Penarol Boston River 2 1 1.50 6.50
W 23 Sept Boston River Fenix 3 2 2.05 3.45
L 12 Sept Racing M Boston River 3 2 1.95 3.95
W 9 Sept Boston River Colon 2 0 1.97 3.90
L 6 Sept Liverpool M. Boston River 1 0 1.85 4.40
W 2 Sept Liverpool M. Boston River 0 1 2.35 3.00
D 29 Aug Boston River Cerro 1 1 1.95 4.00
W 21 Aug Albion Boston River 2 3 2.30 3.15
D 14 Aug Boston River Danubio 0 0 2.42 3.05
Progreso LWLLW
L 3 Oct Liverpool M. Progreso 3 2 1.68 5.40
W 26 Sept Progreso Racing M 2 1 4.00 2.00
L 16 Sept Progreso Nacional 0 1 8.50 1.35
L 13 Sept Progreso Cerro 1 3 2.55 3.20
W 7 Sept Albion Progreso 0 1 2.05 3.60
L 3 Sept Albion Progreso 2 1 2.02 4.00
W 29 Aug Progreso Danubio 1 0 3.00 2.43
L 26 Aug Progreso River Plate 0 2 2.45 2.85
L 23 Aug Nacional Progreso 1 0 1.45 6.60
L 16 Aug Progreso Maldonado 0 2 3.95 1.98

Past meetings

Boston River
3·1·2
Progreso
  • Mar 2026 Progreso 0 - 1 Boston River
  • Jan 2026 Boston River 1 - 2 Progreso
  • Sept 2025 Boston River 2 - 1 Progreso
  • Jun 2025 Progreso 2 - 0 Boston River
  • Mar 2025 Progreso 2 - 2 Boston River
  • Oct 2024 Boston River 1 - 0 Progreso

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Penarol 33 +29 67
2 Maldonado 32 +22 59
3 Torque 32 +17 56
4 Racing M 32 +11 54
5 Nacional 32 +7 51
6 Wanderers 33 0 51
7 Liverpool M. 31 +11 47
8 Central Esp. 32 -10 39
9 Albion 31 0 38
10 Juventud 31 -3 38
11 Defensor Sp. 32 -8 36
12 Cerro Largo 32 -7 34
13 Cerro 32 -22 34
14 Danubio 32 -14 30
15 Boston River 31 -14 29
16 Progreso 32 -19 29
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