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Birmingham vs Sporting JAX prediction — USL Championship

USL Championship · USA
Birmingham €3.28m
Full time 2 : 3
Sporting JAX €3.62m
1 1.61
X 4.15
2 4.65

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
73%Chance
Over 2.5 goals O2.5 Odds @1.47 High chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Birmingham 57%@1.61
Draw 23%@4.15
Sporting JAX 20%@4.65
Goals lineOver/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 73%@1.47
Under 2.5 27%@3.97
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 60%@1.50
No 40%@2.42
Bet Builder
X2 & Over 1.5 55%@2.54
Half-time 1:1 Model
Exact score 2:2 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

BirminghamModelSporting JAX
1.36xG0.66
51%Ball possession49%
15Shots6
7Shots on goal3
5Corner kicks2
2Yellow cards3
2Offside calls2
10Fouls made11
BirminghamRealSporting JAX
2.01xG0.78
58%Ball possession42%
18Shots11
8Shots on goal5
5Corner kicks5
1Yellow cards1
9Offside calls1
10Fouls made15
BirminghamReal · ModelSporting JAX
2.011.36xG0.780.66
58%51%Ball possession42%49%
1815Shots116
87Shots on goal53
55Corner kicks52
12Yellow cards13
92Offside calls12
1010Fouls made1511

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

BirminghamPer gameSporting JAX
1.5Goals for / game1.1
1.3Goals against / game3.0
47%Ball possession45%
13.9Shots per game7.3
5.1Corners per game3.0
1.27Expected goals0.83

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

BirminghamRateSporting JAX
30%Wins10%
90%Over 1.590%
60%Over 2.580%
80%BTTS60%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Birmingham LWLDD
L 4 Oct Detroit Birmingham 1 0 1.65 4.60
W 23 Sept Birmingham Brooklyn 4 0 1.59 4.65
L 20 Sept Tampa Bay Birmingham 4 0 1.36 7.20
D 17 Sept Birmingham New Mexico 4 4 2.32 2.68
D 13 Sept Birmingham Charleston 2 2 3.25 2.05
D 6 Sept Indy Eleven Birmingham 2 2 1.63 4.50
L 30 Aug Hartford Birmingham 3 2 2.02 3.30
L 16 Aug Colorado Birmingham 3 2 1.53 6.00
W 3 Aug Birmingham Rhode Island 1 0 3.20 2.15
L 30 Jul Louisville City Birmingham 2 1 1.40 6.40
Sporting JAX LLLLW
L 1 Oct Miami FC Sporting JAX 4 1 1.58 5.20
L 26 Sept Sporting JAX Loudoun 1 4 3.35 1.97
L 16 Sept Hartford Sporting JAX 2 0 1.53 6.00
L 13 Sept Sporting JAX Rhode Island 0 3 5.00 1.58
W 6 Sept Sporting JAX Lexington 3 2 3.90 1.85
L 30 Aug Brooklyn Sporting JAX 4 1 1.74 4.20
L 16 Aug Sporting JAX Indy Eleven 0 1 3.45 1.97
L 2 Aug Sacrament Sporting JAX 5 0 1.33 7.80
L 26 Jul El Paso Sporting JAX 2 0 1.50 5.80
D 19 Jul Sporting JAX Brooklyn 2 2 2.70 2.35

Past meetings

No recent games between them

For this fixture, the model works from current form and the underlying stats instead.

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Tampa Bay 27 +21 52
2 Charleston 27 +21 47
3 El Paso 27 +11 47
4 New Mexico 28 +9 47
5 Sacrament 28 +12 45
6 Lexington 28 +16 44
7 Detroit 26 +9 44
8 FC Tulsa 28 +7 43
9 Colorado 28 +3 41
10 Hartford 28 +3 41
11 Rhode Island 28 +10 40
12 Orange C 28 -6 40
13 Pittsburgh 28 +1 39
14 San Antonio 28 0 39
15 Louisville City 27 +1 38
16 Las V 28 -3 37
17 Miami FC 29 -7 37
18 Indy Eleven 28 0 35
19 Oakland Roots 28 -2 35
20 Phoenix Rising 28 -4 34
21 Loudoun 28 -12 26
22 Birmingham 27 -7 24
23 Monterey Bay 28 -18 22
24 Brooklyn 27 -28 18
25 Sporting JAX 27 -37 15
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