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Birmingham vs New Mexico prediction — USL Championship

USL Championship · USA
Birmingham €3.28m
Full time 4 : 4
New Mexico €3.67m
1 2.32
X 3.60
2 2.68

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
84%Chance
Over 2.5 goals O2.5 Odds @1.55 Very high chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Birmingham 33%@2.32
Draw 22%@3.60
New Mexico 45%@2.68
Goals lineOver/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 84%@1.55
Under 2.5 16%@8.14
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 80%@1.47
No 20%@2.57
Bet Builder
X2 & Over 1.5 57%@1.87
Half-time 0:1 Model
Exact score 1:2 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

BirminghamModelNew Mexico
1.35xG1.05
44%Ball possession56%
13Shots11
5Shots on goal4
5Corner kicks4
2Yellow cards3
2Offside calls3
11Fouls made12
BirminghamRealNew Mexico
3.47xG1.69
52%Ball possession48%
25Shots11
14Shots on goal7
9Corner kicks0
3Yellow cards2
3Offside calls3
17Fouls made18
BirminghamReal · ModelNew Mexico
3.471.35xG1.691.05
52%44%Ball possession48%56%
2513Shots1111
145Shots on goal74
95Corner kicks04
32Yellow cards23
32Offside calls33
1711Fouls made1812

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

BirminghamPer gameNew Mexico
1.7Goals for / game2.0
1.9Goals against / game0.9
47%Ball possession60%
12.8Shots per game11.0
4.5Corners per game4.0
1.33Expected goals1.13

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

BirminghamRateNew Mexico
20%Wins70%
90%Over 1.570%
80%Over 2.560%
90%BTTS60%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Birmingham LWLDD
L 4 Oct Detroit Birmingham 1 0 1.65 4.60
W 23 Sept Birmingham Brooklyn 4 0 1.59 4.65
L 20 Sept Tampa Bay Birmingham 4 0 1.36 7.20
D 13 Sept Birmingham Charleston 2 2 3.25 2.05
D 6 Sept Indy Eleven Birmingham 2 2 1.63 4.50
L 30 Aug Hartford Birmingham 3 2 2.02 3.30
L 23 Aug Birmingham Sporting JAX 2 3 1.61 4.65
L 16 Aug Colorado Birmingham 3 2 1.53 6.00
W 3 Aug Birmingham Rhode Island 1 0 3.20 2.15
L 30 Jul Louisville City Birmingham 2 1 1.40 6.40
New Mexico WLLDD
W 4 Oct New Mexico Phoenix Rising 2 1 2.32 2.80
L 1 Oct FC Tulsa New Mexico 1 0 2.01 3.65
L 27 Sept New Mexico Sacrament 2 3 3.35 2.04
D 20 Sept Colorado New Mexico 0 0 1.87 3.80
D 12 Sept New Mexico Indy Eleven 2 2 1.83 3.80
W 6 Sept Las V New Mexico 1 2 1.97 3.40
L 30 Aug New Mexico San Antonio 1 2 2.25 2.87
W 27 Aug New Mexico Lexington 2 1 2.43 2.80
D 22 Aug Loudoun New Mexico 0 0 2.22 2.90
W 16 Aug New Mexico FC Tulsa 1 0 2.22 3.00

Past meetings

Birmingham
0·1·0
New Mexico
  • Jul 2024 New Mexico 1 - 1 Birmingham

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Tampa Bay 27 +21 52
2 Charleston 27 +21 47
3 El Paso 27 +11 47
4 New Mexico 28 +9 47
5 Sacrament 28 +12 45
6 Lexington 28 +16 44
7 Detroit 26 +9 44
8 FC Tulsa 28 +7 43
9 Colorado 28 +3 41
10 Hartford 28 +3 41
11 Rhode Island 28 +10 40
12 Orange C 28 -6 40
13 Pittsburgh 28 +1 39
14 San Antonio 28 0 39
15 Louisville City 27 +1 38
16 Las V 28 -3 37
17 Miami FC 29 -7 37
18 Indy Eleven 28 0 35
19 Oakland Roots 28 -2 35
20 Phoenix Rising 28 -4 34
21 Loudoun 28 -12 26
22 Birmingham 27 -7 24
23 Monterey Bay 28 -18 22
24 Brooklyn 27 -28 18
25 Sporting JAX 27 -37 15
AI Bet Builder: your accumulator, assembled by the model Bet of the Day