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Birmingham vs Charleston prediction — USL Championship

1 3.25
X 3.60
2 2.05

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
59%Chance
Away side avoids defeat X2 Odds @1.35 Moderate chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Birmingham 29%@3.25
Draw 26%@3.60
Charleston 45%@2.05
Goals lineOver/Under 3.5
Over 3.5 36%@2.74
Under 3.5 64%@1.54
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 47%@1.52
No 53%@2.45
Bet Builder
X2 & Under 5.5 57%@1.49
Half-time 0:1 Model
Exact score 0:2 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

BirminghamModelCharleston
1.28xG1.12
50%Ball possession50%
12Shots11
6Shots on goal5
4Corner kicks4
2Yellow cards2
2Offside calls1
10Fouls made10
BirminghamRealCharleston
0.57xG0.63
35%Ball possession65%
7Shots7
2Shots on goal4
1Corner kicks6
2Yellow cards1
1Offside calls1
9Fouls made17
BirminghamReal · ModelCharleston
0.571.28xG0.631.12
35%50%Ball possession65%50%
712Shots711
26Shots on goal45
14Corner kicks64
22Yellow cards12
12Offside calls11
910Fouls made1710

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

BirminghamPer gameCharleston
1.6Goals for / game1.9
1.8Goals against / game1.2
50%Ball possession49%
13.9Shots per game10.4
4.9Corners per game3.6
1.40Expected goals1.06

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

BirminghamRateCharleston
20%Wins40%
90%Over 1.590%
70%Over 2.560%
90%BTTS50%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Birmingham LWLDD
L 4 Oct Detroit Birmingham 1 0 1.65 4.60
W 23 Sept Birmingham Brooklyn 4 0 1.59 4.65
L 20 Sept Tampa Bay Birmingham 4 0 1.36 7.20
D 17 Sept Birmingham New Mexico 4 4 2.32 2.68
D 6 Sept Indy Eleven Birmingham 2 2 1.63 4.50
L 30 Aug Hartford Birmingham 3 2 2.02 3.30
L 23 Aug Birmingham Sporting JAX 2 3 1.61 4.65
L 16 Aug Colorado Birmingham 3 2 1.53 6.00
W 3 Aug Birmingham Rhode Island 1 0 3.20 2.15
L 30 Jul Louisville City Birmingham 2 1 1.40 6.40
Charleston WWLWW
W 27 Sept Charleston Rhode Island 2 0 2.12 3.25
W 20 Sept Charleston Monterey Bay 1 0 1.35 7.30
L 3 Sept Charleston Hartford 1 2 1.60 5.40
W 30 Aug Las V Charleston 0 2 3.25 2.12
W 25 Aug Charleston Miami FC 5 0 1.45 7.00
L 16 Aug Pittsburgh Charleston 3 1 2.57 2.70
W 9 Aug Loudoun Charleston 0 1 3.70 1.97
W 2 Aug Charleston Brooklyn 5 0 1.40 7.50
L 26 Jul Colorado Charleston 2 1 2.10 3.10
D 19 Jul Charleston Sacrament 1 1 1.87 4.10

Past meetings

Birmingham
0·1·3
Charleston
  • Mar 2026 Charleston 3 - 2 Birmingham
  • Oct 2025 Charleston 2 - 1 Birmingham
  • Jul 2025 Birmingham 0 - 0 Charleston
  • May 2024 Birmingham 0 - 1 Charleston

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Tampa Bay 27 +21 52
2 Charleston 27 +21 47
3 El Paso 27 +11 47
4 New Mexico 28 +9 47
5 Sacrament 28 +12 45
6 Lexington 28 +16 44
7 Detroit 26 +9 44
8 FC Tulsa 28 +7 43
9 Colorado 28 +3 41
10 Hartford 28 +3 41
11 Rhode Island 28 +10 40
12 Orange C 28 -6 40
13 Pittsburgh 28 +1 39
14 San Antonio 28 0 39
15 Louisville City 27 +1 38
16 Las V 28 -3 37
17 Miami FC 29 -7 37
18 Indy Eleven 28 0 35
19 Oakland Roots 28 -2 35
20 Phoenix Rising 28 -4 34
21 Loudoun 28 -12 26
22 Birmingham 27 -7 24
23 Monterey Bay 28 -18 22
24 Brooklyn 27 -28 18
25 Sporting JAX 27 -37 15