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Benfica vs Estoril prediction — Primeira Liga

Primeira Liga · Portugal
Benfica €372.05m
Full time 2 : 1
Estoril €41.65m
1 1.13
X 10.25
2 24.00

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Lost ✗
89%Chance
Home win by a 2+ goal margin H1 Odds @1.44 Very high chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Benfica 89%@1.13
Draw 8%@10.25
Estoril 3%@24.00
Goals lineOver/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 74%@1.30
Under 2.5 26%@3.70
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 58%@2.16
No 42%@1.73
Half-time 1:0 Model
Exact score 3:1 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

BenficaModelEstoril
3.37xG0.77
57%Ball possession43%
27Shots10
15Shots on goal4
9Corner kicks4
1Yellow cards2
2Offside calls1
11Fouls made13
BenficaRealEstoril
2.03xG0.36
66%Ball possession34%
25Shots4
8Shots on goal2
9Corner kicks0
0Yellow cards1
2Offside calls0
14Fouls made12
BenficaReal · ModelEstoril
2.033.37xG0.360.77
66%57%Ball possession34%43%
2527Shots410
815Shots on goal24
99Corner kicks04
01Yellow cards12
22Offside calls01
1411Fouls made1213

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

BenficaPer gameEstoril
3.5Goals for / game0.8
0.9Goals against / game1.3
65%Ball possession50%
22.1Shots per game12.8
7.4Corners per game4.5
2.72Expected goals1.05

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

BenficaRateEstoril
70%Wins10%
100%Over 1.590%
80%Over 2.520%
70%BTTS50%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Benfica LWWWW
L 20 Sept FC Porto Benfica 3 1 2.82 2.52
W 16 Sept AC Milan(Ita) Benfica(Por) 0 2 2.30 3.20
W 13 Sept Benfica GIL Vicente 3 1 1.14 23.00
W 9 Sept Moreirense Benfica 0 4 21.00 1.17
W 5 Sept Maritimo Benfica 0 3 16.50 1.21
W 27 Aug Aarhus(Den) Benfica(Por) 1 3 7.20 1.44
W 20 Aug Benfica(Por) Aarhus(Den) 3 1 1.14 19.00
W 17 Aug Casa Pia Benfica 0 7 17.00 1.22
D 13 Aug Heart M(Sco) Benfica(Por) 1 1 7.00 1.49
D 9 Aug Benfica Academico Viseu 2 2 1.14 21.00
Estoril LLDLL
L 20 Sept Estoril Casa Pia 1 2 1.75 5.10
L 14 Sept Braga Estoril 1 0 1.44 8.50
D 7 Sept Estoril Arouca 0 0 2.67 2.70
L 22 Aug Estoril Rio Ave 0 2 2.02 3.85
L 16 Aug Nacional Estoril 2 0 3.00 2.60
D 7 Aug Estoril Famalicao 1 1 3.00 2.60
D 31 Jul Os Belenenses Estoril 1 1 4.70 1.62
D 25 Jul Estoril Torreense 0 0 1.98 3.50
L 22 Jul Alverca Estoril 2 0 – –
W 11 Jul Estoril Atletico CP 3 0 – –

Past meetings

Benfica
5·0·0
Estoril
  • May 2026 Estoril 1 - 3 Benfica
  • Jan 2026 Benfica 3 - 1 Estoril
  • May 2025 Estoril 1 - 2 Benfica
  • Dec 2024 Benfica 3 - 0 Estoril
  • Mar 2024 Benfica 3 - 1 Estoril

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 FC Porto 8 +15 22
2 Benfica 8 +15 17
3 Sporting CP 8 +9 16
4 Santa Clara 8 +7 16
5 Arouca 8 +3 12
6 Braga 7 +2 12
7 Academico Viseu 8 0 12
8 Estrela 8 0 11
9 GIL Vicente 7 0 9
10 Alverca 8 -2 9
11 Maritimo 8 -4 9
12 Moreirense 8 -6 9
13 Famalicao 8 +2 8
14 Vitória SC 8 -3 6
15 Nacional 8 -8 5
16 Rio Ave 8 -10 5
17 Casa Pia 8 -13 5
18 Estoril 8 -7 3
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