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Arouca vs Santa Clara prediction — Primeira Liga

Primeira Liga · Portugal
Arouca €26.88m
Full time 1 : 2
Santa Clara €21.92m
1 2.60
X 3.15
2 2.90

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Lost ✗
75%Chance
Under 2.5 goals U2.5 Odds @1.67 High chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Arouca 30%@2.60
Draw 43%@3.15
Santa Clara 27%@2.90
Goals lineOver/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 25%@5.01
Under 2.5 75%@1.67
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 55%@1.91
No 45%@1.90
Bet Builder
1X & Under 4.5 55%@1.62
Exact score 1:1 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

AroucaModelSanta Clara
1.25xG1.32
52%Ball possession48%
11Shots13
5Shots on goal5
3Corner kicks4
3Yellow cards2
1Offside calls1
10Fouls made13
AroucaRealSanta Clara
0.72xG1.16
64%Ball possession36%
10Shots12
4Shots on goal5
5Corner kicks2
3Yellow cards4
2Offside calls2
14Fouls made12
AroucaReal · ModelSanta Clara
0.721.25xG1.161.32
64%52%Ball possession36%48%
1011Shots1213
45Shots on goal55
53Corner kicks24
33Yellow cards42
21Offside calls21
1410Fouls made1213

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

AroucaPer gameSanta Clara
1.0Goals for / game2.1
0.8Goals against / game0.5
49%Ball possession46%
10.4Shots per game14.0
2.6Corners per game3.8
1.21Expected goals1.45

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

AroucaRateSanta Clara
40%Wins70%
60%Over 1.580%
40%Over 2.550%
20%BTTS40%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Arouca DDWLW
D 19 Sept Sporting CP Arouca 2 2 1.19 16.50
D 7 Sept Estoril Arouca 0 0 2.67 2.70
W 29 Aug Arouca Maritimo 2 1 2.20 3.50
L 23 Aug FC Porto Arouca 2 0 1.32 12.00
W 16 Aug Arouca Moreirense 4 0 1.92 4.20
W 8 Aug Vitória SC Arouca 0 1 1.95 4.00
W 1 Aug Lusitania FC Arouca 0 2 – –
L 25 Jul Santa Clara Arouca 3 0 2.40 2.50
D 22 Jul Famalicao Arouca 0 0 – –
L 11 Jul Rio Ave Arouca 2 1 – –
Santa Clara DWDWW
D 20 Sept Santa Clara Braga 0 0 3.60 2.27
W 6 Sept Santa Clara Rio Ave 4 0 2.02 4.40
D 29 Aug Alverca Santa Clara 1 1 2.70 2.95
W 23 Aug Santa Clara Famalicao 1 0 2.82 2.90
W 15 Aug Academico Viseu Santa Clara 0 1 3.00 2.70
D 10 Aug Santa Clara Nacional 2 2 1.98 4.80
W 25 Jul Santa Clara Arouca 3 0 2.40 2.50
D 22 Jul Santa Clara Felgueiras 1 1 – –
W 22 Jul Santa Clara Moreirense 2 1 2.85 3.55
W 18 Jul Santa Clara Paredes 2 0 – –

Past meetings

Arouca
1·2·2
Santa Clara
  • Jul 2026 Santa Clara 3 - 0 Arouca
  • May 2026 Arouca 2 - 2 Santa Clara
  • Dec 2025 Santa Clara 0 - 0 Arouca
  • Apr 2025 Santa Clara 2 - 0 Arouca
  • Dec 2024 Arouca 1 - 0 Santa Clara

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 FC Porto 8 +15 22
2 Benfica 8 +15 17
3 Sporting CP 8 +9 16
4 Santa Clara 8 +7 16
5 Arouca 8 +3 12
6 Braga 7 +2 12
7 Academico Viseu 8 0 12
8 Estrela 8 0 11
9 GIL Vicente 7 0 9
10 Alverca 8 -2 9
11 Maritimo 8 -4 9
12 Moreirense 8 -6 9
13 Famalicao 8 +2 8
14 Vitória SC 8 -3 6
15 Nacional 8 -8 5
16 Rio Ave 8 -10 5
17 Casa Pia 8 -13 5
18 Estoril 8 -7 3
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