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Arouca vs Moreirense prediction — Primeira Liga

Primeira Liga · Portugal
Arouca €26.15m
Full time 4 : 0
Moreirense €29.95m
1 1.92
X 3.55
2 4.20

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
81%Chance
Home side avoids defeat 1X Odds @1.25 Very high chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Arouca 57%@1.92
Draw 23%@3.55
Moreirense 20%@4.20
Goals lineOver/Under 1.5
Over 1.5 77%@1.39
Under 1.5 23%@4.65
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 59%@1.98
No 41%@1.91
Bet Builder
1X & Over 1.5 59%@1.69
Half-time 1:0 Model
Exact score 2:1 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

AroucaModelMoreirense
1.27xG0.48
51%Ball possession49%
11Shots7
5Shots on goal3
4Corner kicks3
4Yellow cards3
2Offside calls1
12Fouls made13
AroucaRealMoreirense
2.14xG0.49
51%Ball possession49%
14Shots5
6Shots on goal1
5Corner kicks3
3Yellow cards4
1Offside calls0
10Fouls made9
AroucaReal · ModelMoreirense
2.141.27xG0.490.48
51%51%Ball possession49%49%
1411Shots57
65Shots on goal13
54Corner kicks33
34Yellow cards43
12Offside calls01
1012Fouls made913

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

AroucaPer gameMoreirense
1.3Goals for / game1.4
1.1Goals against / game1.6
53%Ball possession52%
11.2Shots per game10.3
3.4Corners per game4.2
1.01Expected goals0.80

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

AroucaRateMoreirense
40%Wins30%
70%Over 1.580%
60%Over 2.560%
50%BTTS60%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Arouca DLDWL
D 19 Sept Sporting CP Arouca 2 2 1.19 16.50
L 13 Sept Arouca Santa Clara 1 2 2.60 2.90
D 7 Sept Estoril Arouca 0 0 2.67 2.70
W 29 Aug Arouca Maritimo 2 1 2.20 3.50
L 23 Aug FC Porto Arouca 2 0 1.32 12.00
W 8 Aug Vitória SC Arouca 0 1 1.95 4.00
W 1 Aug Lusitania FC Arouca 0 2 – –
L 25 Jul Santa Clara Arouca 3 0 2.40 2.50
D 22 Jul Famalicao Arouca 0 0 – –
L 11 Jul Rio Ave Arouca 2 1 – –
Moreirense DWLLW
D 20 Sept Vitoria SC Moreirense 1 1 1.55 6.60
W 14 Sept Moreirense Maritimo 3 1 2.82 2.80
L 9 Sept Moreirense Benfica 0 4 21.00 1.17
L 4 Sept FC Porto Moreirense 2 1 1.14 32.00
W 30 Aug Casa Pia Moreirense 0 1 2.67 2.92
D 9 Aug Moreirense Braga 2 2 6.30 1.60
W 1 Aug Moreirense Amarante 2 0 1.84 4.35
D 25 Jul GIL Vicente Moreirense 2 2 – –
L 22 Jul Santa Clara Moreirense 2 1 2.85 3.55
D 18 Jul Moreirense AVS 2 2 – –

Past meetings

Arouca
2·0·3
Moreirense
  • Mar 2026 Moreirense 0 - 1 Arouca
  • Nov 2025 Arouca 0 - 2 Moreirense
  • Jan 2025 Arouca 1 - 0 Moreirense
  • Aug 2024 Moreirense 3 - 1 Arouca
  • Mar 2024 Moreirense 1 - 0 Arouca

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 FC Porto 8 +15 22
2 Benfica 8 +15 17
3 Sporting CP 8 +9 16
4 Santa Clara 8 +7 16
5 Arouca 8 +3 12
6 Braga 7 +2 12
7 Academico Viseu 8 0 12
8 Estrela 8 0 11
9 GIL Vicente 7 0 9
10 Alverca 8 -2 9
11 Maritimo 8 -4 9
12 Moreirense 8 -6 9
13 Famalicao 8 +2 8
14 Vitória SC 8 -3 6
15 Nacional 8 -8 5
16 Rio Ave 8 -10 5
17 Casa Pia 8 -13 5
18 Estoril 8 -7 3
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