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Arouca vs Maritimo prediction — Primeira Liga

Primeira Liga · Portugal
1 2.20
X 3.30
2 3.50

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
73%Chance
Home side avoids defeat 1X Odds @1.33 High chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Arouca 55%@2.20
Draw 23%@3.30
Maritimo 22%@3.50
Goals lineOver/Under 1.5
Over 1.5 72%@1.37
Under 1.5 28%@3.52
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 60%@1.85
No 40%@1.93
Bet Builder
1X & Over 1.5 57%@1.77
Half-time 1:0 Model
Exact score 2:1 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

AroucaModelMaritimo
1.24xG0.00
51%Ball possession49%
10Shots9
5Shots on goal4
4Corner kicks2
3Yellow cards2
2Offside calls1
11Fouls made15
AroucaRealMaritimo
1.79xG0.67
52%Ball possession48%
17Shots12
7Shots on goal4
2Corner kicks3
2Yellow cards1
0Offside calls0
8Fouls made9
AroucaReal · ModelMaritimo
1.791.24xG0.670.00
52%51%Ball possession48%49%
1710Shots129
75Shots on goal44
24Corner kicks32
23Yellow cards12
02Offside calls01
811Fouls made915

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

AroucaPer gameMaritimo
1.4Goals for / game1.2
0.9Goals against / game1.3

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

AroucaRateMaritimo
50%Wins40%
70%Over 1.570%
50%Over 2.540%
30%BTTS50%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Arouca DLDLW
D 19 Sept Sporting CP Arouca 2 2 1.19 16.50
L 13 Sept Arouca Santa Clara 1 2 2.60 2.90
D 7 Sept Estoril Arouca 0 0 2.67 2.70
L 23 Aug FC Porto Arouca 2 0 1.32 12.00
W 16 Aug Arouca Moreirense 4 0 1.92 4.20
W 8 Aug Vitória SC Arouca 0 1 1.95 4.00
W 1 Aug Lusitania FC Arouca 0 2 – –
L 25 Jul Santa Clara Arouca 3 0 2.40 2.50
D 22 Jul Famalicao Arouca 0 0 – –
L 11 Jul Rio Ave Arouca 2 1 – –
Maritimo DLLDW
D 19 Sept GIL Vicente Maritimo 1 1 2.05 4.20
L 14 Sept Moreirense Maritimo 3 1 2.82 2.80
L 5 Sept Maritimo Benfica 0 3 16.50 1.21
D 22 Aug Maritimo Academico Viseu 2 2 2.07 4.05
W 16 Aug Famalicao Maritimo 1 2 1.78 5.20
W 8 Aug Maritimo Casa Pia 1 0 2.15 4.10
D 25 Jul Maritimo Machico 0 0 – –
W 22 Jul Maritimo Camacha 2 0 – –
W 14 Jul Maritimo AVS 2 0 – –
L 15 May Maritimo Chaves 1 3 2.02 3.60

Past meetings

No recent games between them

For this fixture, the model works from current form and the underlying stats instead.

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 FC Porto 8 +15 22
2 Benfica 8 +15 17
3 Sporting CP 8 +9 16
4 Santa Clara 8 +7 16
5 Arouca 8 +3 12
6 Braga 7 +2 12
7 Academico Viseu 8 0 12
8 Estrela 8 0 11
9 GIL Vicente 7 0 9
10 Alverca 8 -2 9
11 Maritimo 8 -4 9
12 Moreirense 8 -6 9
13 Famalicao 8 +2 8
14 Vitória SC 8 -3 6
15 Nacional 8 -8 5
16 Rio Ave 8 -10 5
17 Casa Pia 8 -13 5
18 Estoril 8 -7 3