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Alverca vs Rio Ave prediction — Primeira Liga

Primeira Liga · Portugal
Alverca €44.90m
Full time 1 : 0
Rio Ave €42.33m
1 1.87
X 3.65
2 4.70

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
91%Chance
Home side avoids defeat 1X Odds @1.25 Very high chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Alverca 76%@1.87
Draw 14%@3.65
Rio Ave 10%@4.70
Goals lineOver/Under 1.5
Over 1.5 78%@1.32
Under 1.5 22%@4.68
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 44%@1.83
No 56%@1.95
Bet Builder
1X & Over 1.5 65%@1.60
Half-time 1:0 Model
Exact score 2:0 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

AlvercaModelRio Ave
1.22xG0.73
50%Ball possession50%
10Shots6
4Shots on goal3
5Corner kicks3
2Yellow cards2
2Offside calls1
13Fouls made11
AlvercaRealRio Ave
3.34xG0.29
47%Ball possession53%
23Shots6
6Shots on goal3
8Corner kicks3
2Yellow cards2
2Offside calls1
12Fouls made8
AlvercaReal · ModelRio Ave
3.341.22xG0.290.73
47%50%Ball possession53%50%
2310Shots66
64Shots on goal33
85Corner kicks33
22Yellow cards22
22Offside calls11
1213Fouls made811

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

AlvercaPer gameRio Ave
1.3Goals for / game1.5
1.3Goals against / game1.8
43%Ball possession41%
9.8Shots per game7.3
4.5Corners per game3.2
1.08Expected goals0.61

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

AlvercaRateRio Ave
40%Wins40%
80%Over 1.590%
50%Over 2.570%
60%BTTS40%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Alverca WLDLD
W 12 Sept Nacional Alverca 1 3 2.92 2.60
L 5 Sept Alverca Braga 1 2 5.10 1.82
D 29 Aug Alverca Santa Clara 1 1 2.70 2.95
L 22 Aug Sporting CP Alverca 3 1 1.25 15.50
D 15 Aug Alverca Estrela 2 2 2.16 3.75
L 9 Aug FC Porto Alverca 2 0 1.23 16.50
W 1 Aug Alverca Sporting CP B 1 0 – –
L 25 Jul Mafra Alverca 1 0 – –
W 22 Jul Alverca Estoril 2 0 – –
W 17 Jul Alverca Os Belenenses 2 1 – –
Rio Ave DLLWL
D 14 Sept Rio Ave Estrela 3 3 2.92 2.55
L 6 Sept Santa Clara Rio Ave 4 0 2.02 4.40
L 28 Aug Rio Ave Sporting CP 0 4 8.50 1.40
W 22 Aug Estoril Rio Ave 0 2 2.02 3.85
L 15 Aug Rio Ave FC Porto 0 2 8.75 1.41
L 9 Aug GIL Vicente Rio Ave 1 0 2.15 3.80
W 1 Aug Rio Ave Tondela 3 1 2.27 2.77
D 23 Jul Rio Ave Vitória SC 0 0 – –
D 19 Jul Rio Ave Al Ahli SC 2 2 – –
W 15 Jul Portimonense Rio Ave 0 3 – –

Past meetings

Alverca
1·1·0
Rio Ave
  • Apr 2026 Rio Ave 1 - 2 Alverca
  • Nov 2025 Alverca 1 - 1 Rio Ave

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 FC Porto 8 +15 22
2 Benfica 8 +15 17
3 Sporting CP 8 +9 16
4 Santa Clara 8 +7 16
5 Arouca 8 +3 12
6 Braga 7 +2 12
7 Academico Viseu 8 0 12
8 Estrela 8 0 11
9 GIL Vicente 7 0 9
10 Alverca 8 -2 9
11 Maritimo 8 -4 9
12 Moreirense 8 -6 9
13 Famalicao 8 +2 8
14 Vitória SC 8 -3 6
15 Nacional 8 -8 5
16 Rio Ave 8 -10 5
17 Casa Pia 8 -13 5
18 Estoril 8 -7 3
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