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Alverca vs Estrela prediction — Primeira Liga

Primeira Liga · Portugal
Alverca €33.55m
Full time 2 : 2
Estrela €21.00m
1 2.16
X 3.35
2 3.75

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
72%Chance
Home side avoids defeat 1X Odds @1.30 High chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Alverca 54%@2.16
Draw 24%@3.35
Estrela 22%@3.75
Goals lineOver/Under 3.5
Over 3.5 28%@3.34
Under 3.5 72%@1.30
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 59%@1.84
No 41%@1.95
Bet Builder
1X & Under 4.5 64%@1.47
Half-time 0:0 Model
Exact score 2:1 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

AlvercaModelEstrela
1.30xG1.10
52%Ball possession48%
11Shots9
5Shots on goal4
6Corner kicks3
2Yellow cards3
1Offside calls1
12Fouls made13
AlvercaRealEstrela
1.75xG1.29
46%Ball possession54%
14Shots10
4Shots on goal7
2Corner kicks0
2Yellow cards4
2Offside calls1
10Fouls made12
AlvercaReal · ModelEstrela
1.751.30xG1.291.10
46%52%Ball possession54%48%
1411Shots109
45Shots on goal74
26Corner kicks03
22Yellow cards43
21Offside calls11
1012Fouls made1213

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

AlvercaPer gameEstrela
0.9Goals for / game1.7
0.8Goals against / game1.2
43%Ball possession38%
9.8Shots per game10.2
5.6Corners per game4.0
1.12Expected goals1.41

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

AlvercaRateEstrela
50%Wins40%
50%Over 1.580%
20%Over 2.550%
30%BTTS60%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Alverca WWLDL
W 19 Sept Alverca Rio Ave 1 0 1.87 4.70
W 12 Sept Nacional Alverca 1 3 2.92 2.60
L 5 Sept Alverca Braga 1 2 5.10 1.82
D 29 Aug Alverca Santa Clara 1 1 2.70 2.95
L 22 Aug Sporting CP Alverca 3 1 1.25 15.50
L 9 Aug FC Porto Alverca 2 0 1.23 16.50
W 1 Aug Alverca Sporting CP B 1 0 – –
L 25 Jul Mafra Alverca 1 0 – –
W 22 Jul Alverca Estoril 2 0 – –
W 17 Jul Alverca Os Belenenses 2 1 – –
Estrela LDWDW
L 20 Sept Estrela Academico Viseu 0 2 2.22 3.55
D 14 Sept Rio Ave Estrela 3 3 2.92 2.55
W 10 Sept Estrela Braga 2 1 6.10 1.62
D 5 Sept Estrela Famalicao 2 2 3.05 2.52
W 30 Aug Nacional Estrela 2 3 2.40 3.15
D 8 Aug Estrela Sporting CP 2 2 10.00 1.36
W 1 Aug Estrela Al-Nassr 4 2 3.15 2.10
D 29 Jul Estrela Portimonense 1 1 – –
D 25 Jul Estrela Os Belenenses 0 0 – –
W 23 Jul Estrela Nacional 2 0 – –

Past meetings

Alverca
0·3·0
Estrela
  • Jul 2026 Alverca 0 - 0 Estrela
  • Jan 2026 Alverca 1 - 1 Estrela
  • Aug 2025 Estrela 2 - 2 Alverca

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 FC Porto 8 +15 22
2 Benfica 8 +15 17
3 Sporting CP 8 +9 16
4 Santa Clara 8 +7 16
5 Arouca 8 +3 12
6 Braga 7 +2 12
7 Academico Viseu 8 0 12
8 Estrela 8 0 11
9 GIL Vicente 7 0 9
10 Alverca 8 -2 9
11 Maritimo 8 -4 9
12 Moreirense 8 -6 9
13 Famalicao 8 +2 8
14 Vitória SC 8 -3 6
15 Nacional 8 -8 5
16 Rio Ave 8 -10 5
17 Casa Pia 8 -13 5
18 Estoril 8 -7 3
AI Bet Builder: your accumulator, assembled by the model Bet of the Day