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Alebrijes vs Durango prediction — Liga de Expansión MX

Liga de Expansión MX · Mexico
Alebrijes €3.38m
Full time 1 : 0
Durango €2.33m
1 3.10
X 3.25
2 2.52

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
89%Chance
Under 3.5 goals U3.5 Odds @1.33 Very high chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Alebrijes 53%@3.10
Draw 21%@3.25
Durango 26%@2.52
Goals lineOver/Under 3.5
Over 3.5 11%@10.76
Under 3.5 89%@1.33
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 44%@1.74
No 56%@2.10
Bet Builder
1X & Under 4.5 63%@1.81
Half-time 0:0 Model
Exact score 1:0 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

AlebrijesModelDurango
48%Ball possession52%
11Shots10
4Shots on goal3
4Corner kicks4
3Yellow cards2
AlebrijesRealDurango
31%Ball possession69%
14Shots12
5Shots on goal2
2Corner kicks6
5Yellow cards3
AlebrijesReal · ModelDurango
31%48%Ball possession69%52%
1411Shots1210
54Shots on goal23
24Corner kicks64
53Yellow cards32

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

AlebrijesPer gameDurango
1.0Goals for / game0.7
1.7Goals against / game1.1
54%Ball possession60%
12.4Shots per game9.7
4.3Corners per game4.3

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

AlebrijesRateDurango
30%Wins30%
90%Over 1.560%
50%Over 2.540%
50%BTTS40%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Alebrijes LLLLD
L 4 Oct Piratas Alebrijes 4 0 1.36 9.25
L 25 Sept Alebrijes CA La Paz 1 3 3.40 2.07
L 20 Sept Cancun Alebrijes 3 0 1.70 4.75
L 6 Sept Monarcas Alebrijes 4 1 1.53 5.40
D 28 Aug Alebrijes Tapatio 1 1 3.15 2.74
L 23 Aug CDS T Alebrijes 2 1 1.70 5.00
W 14 Aug Alebrijes Tepatitlan 1 0 2.07 4.60
W 6 Aug Tlaxcala Alebrijes 0 2 1.61 5.40
L 31 Jul Alebrijes Dorados 0 2 2.07 3.75
L 26 Jul Venados Alebrijes 3 0 1.88 4.00
Durango WWWDD
W 4 Oct Durango Mineros Z 4 2 2.10 3.65
W 27 Sept Dorados Durango 0 1 2.70 2.65
W 18 Sept Durango Cruz A 2 0 1.70 5.40
D 5 Sept Durango Tlaxcala 1 1 1.98 4.10
D 29 Aug Correcaminos Durango 0 0 2.12 3.05
L 23 Aug Durango Leones Negros 1 2 2.20 3.10
L 16 Aug Cancun Durango 2 0 2.00 3.65
L 8 Aug Durango Piratas 0 3 2.22 3.00
W 1 Aug CA La Paz Durango 0 1 2.18 3.20
W 25 Jul Tepatitlan Durango 0 1 2.00 3.50

Past meetings

No recent games between them

For this fixture, the model works from current form and the underlying stats instead.

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Leones Negros 12 +11 24
2 Monarcas 12 +9 23
3 CA La Paz 12 +11 21
4 Venados 12 +5 20
5 Piratas 12 +6 19
6 Mineros Z 12 +4 18
7 Cancun 12 +4 18
8 Durango 12 0 18
9 Correcaminos 12 +1 17
10 Tapatio 12 +2 16
11 Dorados 12 0 14
12 Tlaxcala 12 -4 13
13 CDS T 12 -7 12
14 Alebrijes 12 -14 11
15 Cruz A 12 -7 9
16 Tepatitlan 12 -21 8
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