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Albion vs Progreso prediction — Primera División

Primera División · Uruguay
Albion €8.40m
Full time 0 : 1
Progreso €5.72m
1 2.05
X 3.35
2 3.60

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
84%Chance
Under 3.5 goals U3.5 Odds @1.26 Very high chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Albion 27%@2.05
Draw 16%@3.35
Progreso 57%@3.60
Goals lineOver/Under 3.5
Over 3.5 16%@6.62
Under 3.5 84%@1.26
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 61%@1.90
No 39%@1.83
Bet Builder
1X & Under 4.5 55%@1.47
Half-time 0:0 Model
Exact score 1:1 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

AlbionModelProgreso
57%Ball possession43%
8Shots6
3Shots on goal3
3Corner kicks3
3Yellow cards3
AlbionRealProgreso
68%Ball possession32%
8Shots3
6Shots on goal2
3Corner kicks1
2Yellow cards1
AlbionReal · ModelProgreso
68%57%Ball possession32%43%
88Shots36
63Shots on goal23
33Corner kicks13
23Yellow cards13

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

AlbionPer gameProgreso
1.0Goals for / game0.5
1.3Goals against / game1.4
53%Ball possession43%
6.3Shots per game7.1
3.0Corners per game3.8

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

AlbionRateProgreso
20%Wins20%
60%Over 1.560%
50%Over 2.530%
60%BTTS30%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Albion WLLDL
W 3 Oct Albion Defensor Sp. 3 2 2.81 2.55
L 29 Sept Wanderers Albion 2 1 2.40 2.95
L 20 Sept Albion Juventud 1 3 2.65 2.65
D 16 Sept Albion River Plate 0 0 2.20 3.25
L 13 Sept Penarol Albion 3 1 1.42 7.60
L 7 Sept Albion Progreso 0 1 2.05 3.60
L 31 Aug Racing M Albion 1 0 1.79 5.00
D 27 Aug Nacional Albion 0 0 2.06 3.55
L 21 Aug Albion Boston River 2 3 2.30 3.15
L 15 Aug Cerro Albion 2 1 3.60 2.32
Progreso LWWLL
L 3 Oct Liverpool M. Progreso 3 2 1.68 5.40
W 26 Sept Progreso Racing M 2 1 4.00 2.00
W 19 Sept Boston River Progreso 1 2 1.95 3.85
L 16 Sept Progreso Nacional 0 1 8.50 1.35
L 13 Sept Progreso Cerro 1 3 2.55 3.20
W 7 Sept Albion Progreso 0 1 2.05 3.60
W 29 Aug Progreso Danubio 1 0 3.00 2.43
L 26 Aug Progreso River Plate 0 2 2.45 2.85
L 23 Aug Nacional Progreso 1 0 1.45 6.60
L 16 Aug Progreso Maldonado 0 2 3.95 1.98

Past meetings

Albion
1·1·1
Progreso
  • Sept 2026 Albion 0 - 1 Progreso
  • Jun 2026 Progreso 1 - 2 Albion
  • Mar 2026 Progreso 2 - 2 Albion

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Penarol 33 +29 67
2 Maldonado 32 +22 59
3 Torque 32 +17 56
4 Racing M 32 +11 54
5 Nacional 32 +7 51
6 Wanderers 33 0 51
7 Liverpool M. 31 +11 47
8 Central Esp. 32 -10 39
9 Albion 31 0 38
10 Juventud 31 -3 38
11 Defensor Sp. 32 -8 36
12 Cerro Largo 32 -7 34
13 Cerro 32 -22 34
14 Danubio 32 -14 30
15 Boston River 31 -14 29
16 Progreso 32 -19 29
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