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York vs Swindon prediction — League Two

League Two · England
York €1.17m
Full time 4 : 0
Swindon €4.38m
1 1.62
X 4.35
2 4.80

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
76%Chance
Over 2.5 goals O2.5 Odds @1.50 High chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
York 57%@1.62
Draw 23%@4.35
Swindon 20%@4.80
Goals lineOver/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 76%@1.50
Under 2.5 24%@4.75
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 69%@1.55
No 31%@2.35
Bet Builder
X2 & Over 1.5 55%@2.60
Half-time 0:1 Model
Exact score 1:2 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

YorkModelSwindon
2.38xG0.84
57%Ball possession43%
17Shots7
8Shots on goal4
8Corner kicks3
2Yellow cards2
1Offside calls2
9Fouls made10
YorkRealSwindon
2.32xG0.57
67%Ball possession33%
20Shots7
9Shots on goal4
6Corner kicks1
1Yellow cards1
3Offside calls2
5Fouls made15
YorkReal · ModelSwindon
2.322.38xG0.570.84
67%57%Ball possession33%43%
2017Shots77
98Shots on goal44
68Corner kicks13
12Yellow cards12
31Offside calls22
59Fouls made1510

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

YorkPer gameSwindon
1.6Goals for / game1.7
2.3Goals against / game1.8
63%Ball possession46%
16.0Shots per game7.3
7.0Corners per game3.3
2.18Expected goals0.99

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

YorkRateSwindon
20%Wins50%
100%Over 1.580%
70%Over 2.580%
90%BTTS70%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

York WDLLD
W 26 Sept York Gillingham 3 0 1.80 4.50
D 22 Sept York Rotherham 1 1 2.75 2.50
L 19 Sept Chesterfield York 2 0 2.42 2.90
L 15 Sept York Newcastle 1 3 1.37 6.40
D 5 Sept Crewe York 1 1 2.85 2.50
L 1 Sept Cheltenham York 3 2 3.60 2.00
W 29 Aug York Exeter 2 1 1.70 4.80
D 22 Aug Rotherham York 1 1 2.70 2.57
W 15 Aug York Bristol Rovers 3 2 2.27 3.25
L 3 Aug York Crawley 0 2 1.67 4.92
Swindon LDLLL
L 3 Oct Rochdale Swindon 1 0 2.25 2.95
D 26 Sept Swindon Accrington 1 1 2.20 3.15
L 22 Sept Swindon Newport 0 2 1.93 3.55
L 19 Sept Salford Swindon 1 0 1.52 5.50
L 15 Sept Swindon Crystal P 1 2 2.05 3.90
W 5 Sept Swindon Colchester 3 1 2.70 2.50
W 1 Sept Swindon Port Vale 3 1 3.20 2.15
L 29 Aug Oldham Swindon 3 0 1.91 4.20
W 22 Aug Swindon Cheltenham 1 0 2.00 4.00
D 15 Aug Northampton Swindon 0 0 2.15 3.25

Past meetings

No recent games between them

For this fixture, the model works from current form and the underlying stats instead.

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Barnet 9 +7 17
2 Salford 10 +3 17
3 York 10 +6 16
4 Walsall 10 +6 16
5 Crewe 10 +4 16
6 Cheltenham 10 +2 16
7 Bristol Rovers 10 0 16
8 Chesterfield 10 +3 15
9 Grimsby 10 +3 14
10 Gillingham 10 +2 14
11 Rochdale 10 -1 14
12 Tranmere 10 0 12
13 Oldham 10 -2 12
14 Swindon 10 -4 12
15 Shrewsbury 10 -5 12
16 Newport 10 0 11
17 Accrington 10 -1 11
18 Rotherham 10 -1 11
19 Fleetwood 10 -1 11
20 Exeter 10 -1 10
21 Colchester 10 -4 9
22 Northampton 9 -3 8
23 Port Vale 9 -6 7
24 Crawley 9 -7 6
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