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York vs Gillingham prediction — League Two

League Two · England
York €1.17m
Full time 3 : 0
Gillingham €3.42m
1 1.80
X 3.85
2 4.50

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
63%Chance
Over 2.5 goals O2.5 Odds @1.62 Moderate chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
York 59%@1.80
Draw 22%@3.85
Gillingham 19%@4.50
Goals lineOver/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 63%@1.62
Under 2.5 37%@2.76
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 57%@1.63
No 43%@2.25
Bet Builder
X2 & Over 1.5 55%@2.44
Half-time 1:1 Model
Exact score 1:2 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

YorkModelGillingham
1.85xG1.02
58%Ball possession42%
18Shots9
5Shots on goal4
6Corner kicks4
2Yellow cards2
2Offside calls2
11Fouls made12
YorkRealGillingham
2.33xG0.24
65%Ball possession35%
17Shots6
6Shots on goal0
4Corner kicks2
1Yellow cards5
0Offside calls1
8Fouls made17
YorkReal · ModelGillingham
2.331.85xG0.241.02
65%58%Ball possession35%42%
1718Shots69
65Shots on goal04
46Corner kicks24
12Yellow cards52
02Offside calls12
811Fouls made1712

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

YorkPer gameGillingham
1.5Goals for / game1.4
1.7Goals against / game1.4
63%Ball possession46%
15.6Shots per game9.9
6.6Corners per game3.6
1.96Expected goals1.03

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

YorkRateGillingham
30%Wins40%
100%Over 1.590%
60%Over 2.560%
70%BTTS50%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

York DLLWD
D 22 Sept York Rotherham 1 1 2.75 2.50
L 19 Sept Chesterfield York 2 0 2.42 2.90
L 15 Sept York Newcastle 1 3 1.37 6.40
W 12 Sept York Swindon 4 0 1.62 4.80
D 5 Sept Crewe York 1 1 2.85 2.50
L 1 Sept Cheltenham York 3 2 3.60 2.00
W 29 Aug York Exeter 2 1 1.70 4.80
D 22 Aug Rotherham York 1 1 2.70 2.57
W 15 Aug York Bristol Rovers 3 2 2.27 3.25
L 3 Aug York Crawley 0 2 1.67 4.92
Gillingham DLWWW
D 3 Oct Gillingham Newport 0 0 1.92 3.80
L 22 Sept Gillingham Cambridge Utd 1 4 5.15 1.67
W 19 Sept Gillingham Bristol Rovers 3 0 3.45 2.10
W 12 Sept Gillingham Tranmere 2 0 2.60 2.90
W 5 Sept Rochdale Gillingham 1 4 2.10 3.40
D 1 Sept Chesterfield Gillingham 1 1 1.60 5.60
D 29 Aug Gillingham Northampton 1 1 3.15 2.38
D 22 Aug Fleetwood Gillingham 0 0 1.92 3.85
L 15 Aug Gillingham Walsall 0 3 2.37 3.00
L 8 Aug Gillingham Luton 0 3 4.90 1.68

Past meetings

No recent games between them

For this fixture, the model works from current form and the underlying stats instead.

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Barnet 9 +7 17
2 Salford 10 +3 17
3 York 10 +6 16
4 Walsall 10 +6 16
5 Crewe 10 +4 16
6 Cheltenham 10 +2 16
7 Bristol Rovers 10 0 16
8 Chesterfield 10 +3 15
9 Grimsby 10 +3 14
10 Gillingham 10 +2 14
11 Rochdale 10 -1 14
12 Tranmere 10 0 12
13 Oldham 10 -2 12
14 Swindon 10 -4 12
15 Shrewsbury 10 -5 12
16 Newport 10 0 11
17 Accrington 10 -1 11
18 Rotherham 10 -1 11
19 Fleetwood 10 -1 11
20 Exeter 10 -1 10
21 Colchester 10 -4 9
22 Northampton 9 -3 8
23 Port Vale 9 -6 7
24 Crawley 9 -7 6
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