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Winterthur vs Xamax prediction — Challenge League

Challenge League · Switzerland
Winterthur €6.45m
Full time 4 : 0
Xamax €5.05m
1 2.07
X 3.80
2 3.16

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
90%Chance
Home side avoids defeat 1X Odds @1.36 Very high chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Winterthur 70%@2.07
Draw 14%@3.80
Xamax 16%@3.16
Goals lineOver/Under 3.5
Over 3.5 30%@3.97
Under 3.5 70%@1.70
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 58%@1.42
No 42%@2.75
Bet Builder
1X & Under 5.5 69%@1.55
Half-time 1:0 Model
Exact score 2:1 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

WinterthurModelXamax
1.82xG1.15
53%Ball possession47%
17Shots12
8Shots on goal5
6Corner kicks4
2Yellow cards2
2Offside calls1
14Fouls made13
WinterthurRealXamax
2.81xG0.55
52%Ball possession48%
22Shots9
8Shots on goal2
7Corner kicks4
1Yellow cards2
3Offside calls0
12Fouls made21
WinterthurReal · ModelXamax
2.811.82xG0.551.15
52%53%Ball possession48%47%
2217Shots912
88Shots on goal25
76Corner kicks44
12Yellow cards22
32Offside calls01
1214Fouls made2113

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

WinterthurPer gameXamax
1.9Goals for / game1.5
1.2Goals against / game2.0
54%Ball possession47%
16.0Shots per game11.3
5.2Corners per game4.6
1.81Expected goals1.30

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

WinterthurRateXamax
30%Wins40%
100%Over 1.580%
50%Over 2.580%
70%BTTS80%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Winterthur WWWWD
W 3 Oct Winterthur(Sui) Basel (Sui)(Sui) 7 3 4.15 1.70
W 30 Sept Seuzach(Sui) Winterthur(Sui) 1 4 – –
W 18 Sept Winterthur Aarau 2 1 2.00 3.25
W 11 Sept Etoile C Winterthur 0 1 2.90 2.22
D 1 Sept Stade Nyonnais Winterthur 2 2 4.40 1.67
D 28 Aug Winterthur Lausanne Ouchy 1 1 2.72 2.45
W 21 Aug Rapperswil Winterthur 0 2 2.92 2.17
W 15 Aug Zurich City Winterthur 1 3 – –
W 7 Aug Winterthur Wil 5 0 1.98 3.35
L 31 Jul Kriens Winterthur 2 0 3.20 2.05
Xamax LLWLL
L 2 Oct Sochaux(Fra) Xamax(Sui) 2 1 – –
L 18 Sept Xamax Rapperswil 0 3 2.15 2.92
W 11 Sept Stade Nyonnais Xamax 1 3 3.30 2.00
L 1 Sept Xamax Yverdon 1 2 2.67 2.37
L 28 Aug Aarau Xamax 2 1 2.02 3.30
L 21 Aug Xamax Lausanne Ouchy 1 2 3.20 2.12
D 15 Aug Meyrin Xamax 0 0 6.10 1.40
W 7 Aug Etoile C Xamax 0 1 2.45 2.57
W 31 Jul Wil Xamax 1 2 2.52 2.50
W 24 Jul Xamax Kriens 3 2 1.85 3.55

Past meetings

No recent games between them

For this fixture, the model works from current form and the underlying stats instead.

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Lausanne Ouchy 10 +14 22
2 Winterthur 10 +11 19
3 Yverdon 10 +5 17
4 Kriens 10 +5 15
5 Aarau 10 -2 13
6 Xamax 10 -5 13
7 Rapperswil 10 -1 11
8 Etoile C 10 -4 10
9 Wil 10 -6 10
10 Stade Nyonnais 10 -17 3
AI Bet Builder: your accumulator, assembled by the model Bet of the Day